- Form: Temperley are unbeaten in 5 matches (Won 3, Drawn 2).
- Head-to-head: Temperley have won 1 and drawn 2 of their last 3 matches against San Martín.
- League position: San Martín are 13th in Primera Nacional 2026 on 30 points from 21 games.
San Martín are good value to beat solid Temperley
San Martín Tucumán are just slightly favored at 2.0 to beat Temperley in Primera Nacional 2026 on Saturday, but we think Alejandro Orfila's men are a good bet here, because Temperley are so tough to crack.
San Martín's home record in Primera Nacional 2026 (Won 4, Drawn 5, Lost 1 from 10) is very solid and has been the foundation of their survival bid this season. They have scored 1.20 and conceded just 0.50 goals per game at home in the third tier so, even if the hosts are not prolific at home, they should be able to resist Temperley for 90 minutes.
Temperley are in the better form of the two clubs, having gone unbeaten in their last five matches (Won 3, Drawn 2) in all competitions, so there is some logic behind the home team's slight favoritism. However, they have won only two and drawn seven of their 11 Primera Nacional 2026 away games, so they stall more often than not on the road.
San Martin have changed shape with Orfila at the helm
Tactical changes
San Martín's new-look team has been more attack-first and flexible since Orfila took over on 14 June 2026, as the side has shaped up in a 4-1-4-1 formation one week and a 4-4-2 the next. Whatever the formation, they have been more active with the ball, which has led to some good results.
Recent results
They have taken two wins, two draws and a defeat from their last five in all competitions, but their sequence of results immediately prior to Saturday's game were a 1-0 win at Patronato, a 3-0 hammering of Almagro at home and a 0-0 draw at Deportivo Maipu. That's a mixed bag of results that shows both how hard San Martín are to break down at times and how they are yet to find the consistency that will seal survival in 2026.
Temperley's style
Temperley, meanwhile, are well organised, well-drilled and have a well-timed press that seems to disrupt opponents at the right time. Nicolás Domingo's team have conceded only five goals in 11 away Primera Nacional 2026 fixtures, which is testament to their compact shape and ability to make vertical transitions. That could make this more of a chess match than a football game, particularly if their press is effective against San Martín's build-up.
Temperley’s away record is a major factor
Temperley have won 1 and drawn 2 of their last 3 Primera Nacional 2026 games against San Martin, including a 1-1 draw at their place four weeks ago, but that's irrelevant because the home side have changed so much since then.
Temperley's overall away record in Primera Nacional 2026 is the key factor and we will take San Martin to win a low-scoring game because of their strength on home turf.
- San Martin's forward Diego Diellos leads the scoring in Primera Nacional 2026 with four goals in 19 appearances, so there's an edge in the box for the hosts here.
- Pedro Souto has been Temperley's main man with five in 12 games, but neither side has a clinical finisher.
- The draw at 2.87 is not a good price for a game between two sides that are so evenly matched and we like the under 2.5 goals price of 1.36 here because both teams are priced toward no at 1.5.
