- Palmeiras form: Palmeiras have won 3 of their last 5 games in all competitions, drawn 1 and lost 1.
- Coritiba form: Coritiba have won 2 of their last 5 in all competitions, drawn 1 and lost 2.
- Defensive record: Palmeiras have conceded just 0.78 goals per match on the road in Serie A 2026, compared to Coritiba's 1.00 at home.
Palmeiras are the pace-setters
Table position
With 41 points from 18 matches, Palmeiras are top of the Serie A 2026 table, 15 points clear of Coritiba who sit 7th with 26 points from 18 games. However, this won't be a derby and both sides have a lot on the line at Couto Pereira in a game that is all about the table, not the taste of derby day.
Form and style
Palmeiras have been in scintillating form this season and arrive off the back of three straight wins which includes a 3-0 away demolition of Flamengo RJ in Serie A 2026, a 4-1 home victory over CD Junior de Barranquilla in Copa Libertadores Group F 2026 and a 1-0 away victory over Chapecoense SC in the league. Abel Ferreira's side are ruthless, flexible and tactically astute, able to construct a game with control, press with intensity and make effective tactical adjustments during matches.
Coritiba are a tough nut
Coritiba arrive off the back of a 3-2 home win over EC Bahia in Serie A 2026, but the game prior was much more difficult with the Crocodiles coming second best in a 3-0 defeat away to Flamengo RJ. Fernando Seabra's side are a pragmatic side, with a shape that is happy to cede the ball, keep things tight and strike in transition.
- Breno Lopes has been Coritiba's spark, scoring 3 of the team's 8 goals in their last 5 and giving them a cutting edge in the final third.
- However, Josue has been equally as important, creating 3 of Coritiba's last 5 goals and keeping the attacks flowing.
Palmeiras to have the final say
The hosts are in reasonable form at home in Serie A 2026, where they have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 2 from their 8 outings. But they've won just 1 of their last 3 and so we're going with the green side here.
Palmeiras should have enough nous to control this game, while their pressing game, build-up, width gives them the edge over Coritiba's low-to-mid block and vertical counters.
Palmeiras to win at 2.15 is a good price considering they are the league leaders and Coritiba are 3.55. The draw is 3.2, while Under 2.5 goals at 1.66 and Both Teams to Score – No at 1.8 look like decent plays given how the market thinks the game will play out.
