- Last meeting: Derby County won in the last meeting at home in the Championship 2025/2026.
- Head-to-head: The last 4 meetings between these two sides have seen two wins apiece with no draws.
Derby and Swansea are set up to be a good watch at Pride Park
Derby County
Derby County's 2026/2027 campaign has been slow off the line and John Eustace's side sit 18th in the Championship 2026/2027 table with just 1 point in the standings from 2 games. Their last 3 results have seen them lose 1-2 at home to Lincoln City in the EFL Cup 2026/2027, lose 1-2 away at Charlton Athletic in the Championship 2026/2027 and then draw 2-2 at home to Cardiff City FC in the Championship 2026/2027.
Eustace is a pragmatic manager who has his Derby side set up in an organised, transition-first system which should allow them to nick goals even if results haven't followed in the first half of this season. Eustace has a clear plan and Derby should be difficult to beat, however, a return of 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches is below par.
Swansea City
Swansea have started the 2026/2027 season in much better fashion than Derby and they sit 7th in the Championship 2026/2027 with 4 points from 2 games. Vítor Matos' Swans have been impressive in the early weeks of the season and their new boss looks to have made them into a tougher, more compact unit with sharp counter-press and verticality. They've been a more than a handful for opponents in the opening games and have some key men at the right end of the field to get the job done.
- Bobby Clark has been a bright spark for The Rams in the Championship 2026/2027 and with 1 goal and 1 assist in 2 games for the club, he's a clear standout for an anytime scorer this Saturday.
- Adam Idah has once again led the line well in the Championship 2026/2027, he has 1 goal in 2 games, while Josh Tymon has created plenty with 1 assist in his 2 Championship appearances this term.
- Matos' men have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 fixtures which reads as a really good return and one that should see them take the points against Derby at the weekend.
Backing the visitors is the play
Although the bookies have Derby as favorites for this one at 2.2, we feel that Swansea are the more convincing bet at 3.15. Derby's form is far from strong, while Swansea have won their only away game of the campaign to date. Derby have also failed to win at home in the Championship 2026/2027 after 1 game at Pride Park, so this feels more of a narrow away test than a home banker.
The draw sits at 3.35 and may well be the savvy play for Saturday, but we're happy to take Swansea to edge out the win. Under 2.5 goals at 1.85 looks like a live bet for this game too, it may well be a tactical battle and the under could land in a 1-1 draw.
In the head-to-head, Derby score an average of 1.5 goals at home to Swansea while the Swans score an average of 1.0 away to Derby, suggesting this may be a tight and cagey fixture.
