- Head-to-head: The last 5 H2H meetings are all closely matched (Augsburg 2, Freiburg 1, Draws 2)
- Home form: FC Augsburg are unbeaten in 4 Bundesliga 2026/2027 home games, (W1, D3), while Freiburg are winless in their last 3 here.
Augsburg should have enough to get something from this
Augsburg have been a difficult team to beat at home in the Bundesliga 2026/2027 this season, but Freiburg come into Saturday's game in better shape so this should be a close matchup. Die Fuggerstädter have gone unbeaten in 4 Bundesliga 2026/2027 games at WWK Arena, with a 1 win and 3 draws, so their recent form is poor but they have been a tough nut to crack at home.
Augsburg manager Manuel Baum has overseen this change since his appointment on 2 December 2025 and his 3-4-2-1 system is a simple, vertical structure with direct play and an emphasis on second balls. The hosts have been a hard team to break down in the Bundesliga 2026/2027, but have also been drawing too many games, including their 1-1 stalemate at home to Union Berlin today.
Freiburg will be the favourites at 2.15 here, ahead of Augsburg at 2.92 and the draw at 3.8, which could all pay off depending on the result. Die Breisgauer have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 in all competitions, but both of those defeats came away from home in their recent back-to-back games against Bayer Leverkusen and AS Monaco in the UEFA Conference League, meaning they arrive here on the back of a 2-game losing run.
Compact Freiburg will be tough to crack
Tactics:
Freiburg boss Julian Schuster has done a great job with his 4-2-3-1 since taking over on 1 July 2024, as he has created a solid structure, a tight midfield and some real collective sharpness in their pressing game. It's just enough to make Augsburg work to create space for their wide men to cut in on.
Standings and form:
FC Augsburg sit 9th in the Bundesliga 2026/2027 on 9 points from 7 games, while Freiburg are 3rd on 13 points from 6, so the visitors arrive much higher in the table.
Freiburg have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their 3 Bundesliga 2026/2027 away games and will come at Augsburg with the same structure and mentality when facing weaker teams away from home. This is a game Freiburg should win, but the last 3 times they have been away to Augsburg, they have failed to do so and the home side are on a 3-match home draw streak across all competitions, so it will be close.
Both teams to score looks the way to go
Backing both teams to score at 1.42 is the clear play in the goal markets here as Augsburg and Freiburg's recent records are similar and both have been scoring and conceding plenty of goals. Augsburg's average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.25 goals conceded at home this season tells us that they will get plenty of chances but won't shut the game down, while Freiburg's average of 1.33 scored and 1.33 conceded on their Bundesliga 2026/2027 road trips suggests a fairly open contest.
Freiburg's tight structure could stifle Augsburg's half-space attacks, but if the hosts can make chances, they will come quickly on the counter.
- Michael Gregoritsch is Augsburg's biggest threat, as he is their main target in the final third with 3 Bundesliga 2026/2027 goals in 4 games
- Freiburg's Yuito Suzuki has been their sharpest finisher so far with 4 Bundesliga 2026/2027 goals in 4 appearances