- Team form: Leverkusen have won their last 5 matches, losing none.
- Opponent form: Stuttgart have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5.
- Home form: Leverkusen have won all 3 Bundesliga 2026/2027 home games, conceding 1 goal.
Stuttgart are a threat at home, not away
Bayer 04 Leverkusen are the betting favorite at 1.76 for Saturday's Bundesliga 2026-2027 clash with VfB Stuttgart at BayArena, with the visitors coming in at 3.75 and the draw at 4.3. While Die Werkself have been in great form lately, winning their last 5 in all current competitions (Lech Poznan, Freiburg and OFI FC), Stuttgart have been unconvincing, picking up just 6 points from their opening 7 Bundesliga 2026-2027 games and slipping to 15th in the table, compared to Leverkusen's 4th spot with 13 points on the board.
That's why the oddsmakers are right to install Die Werkself as the odds-on favorites for this fixture, but Stuttgart's even recent record in this fixture means we can't go all-in on a home victory. The last 5 meetings between the clubs are perfectly even (2-2-1), with Stuttgart winning the most recent clash 3-1 at home.
However, Die Schwaben have been much less effective away from home this season, winning just 1 and losing 3 of their Bundesliga 2026-2027 road games, conceding an average of 2.00 goals per game in the process.
Stuttgart can strike on the break
Tactical approaches
Carles Martinez has wasted no time in stamping his fluid, possession-based identity on Leverkusen, which is to say that his team will be very much the aggressor in this game, rotating players to maintain pressure and pressing in the advanced positions to try and pin Stuttgart back. But Sebastian Hoeness has also given his team a similar fluidity, which has been great for them, allowing the ball to move quickly in transition and hitting teams on the counter-attack with front-foot pressing and wide delivery.
Goals and odds
This match won't be dull, as the last 5 head-to-heads between these clubs at this venue can attest to – an average of 2.3 and 3.0 goals have been scored in the home and away averages, respectively. We think this should also be lively, with Stuttgart's direct approach potentially making it a sharp, tense affair with the Over 2.5 goals selection and Both Teams to Score both coming in at good odds of 1.3 and 1.33, respectively.
Schick and Vagnoman to play starring roles
Patrik Schick is Leverkusen's main gun in 2026-2027, leading Leverkusen's scoring chart in the Bundesliga 2026-2027 with 4 goals in 4 games, while Josha Vagnoman is making waves for Stuttgart with 2 goals in 4 matches, which is enough to put him top of the scoring charts for Die Roten.
- Schick has 5 goals in Leverkusen's last 5 games and should be a good bet to continue that form, given the number of chances that Stuttgart's adventurous play will provide.
