- Head-to-head: FC Thun have won the last 2 H2H encounters, including a 3-1 victory 10 days ago
- Away form: Thun have won 12 of their 16 away matches this season, averaging 2.06 goals per away game.
- Home record: In 17 home games in the Super League - Championship Group 2026, Basel have won seven, drawn six and lost four (scoring 25 goals).
A battle of tactical opposites
It’s a battle of contrasting styles when FC Basel welcome FC Thun on Saturday in what could be a true chess match between Basel’s experimental, morphing approach and Thun’s compact, transition-based system.
Managers and systems
Basel boss Stephan Lichtsteiner has been looking for a cohesive and reliable identity in attack for his team, while Mauro Lustrinelli has made Thun hard to break down with a pragmatic system that is lethal on the counterattack.
Basel's approach
Basel’s approach has featured controlled possession, situational pressing and frequent in-game formation switches in recent games, all of which indicate that Lichtsteiner is still searching for a stable identity as he experiments with the side.
A classic David vs Goliath
The fact that Thun have become a David story in the making as the recently promoted side has surged into the top spot in the Super League - Championship Group 2026 table with 74 points from 34 games, makes this game all the more interesting against one of the traditional Swiss powerhouses who sit 5th with 53 points from the same games.
Both sides have it all to play for as the final European qualification places are on the line and we expect both sides to give it their all here, so the both-teams-to-score market at 1.32 holds little appeal to us as we can’t see how the visiting team doesn’t score a goal in this one.
Thun are the slight favorites
Thun are the narrow favorites at 2.42, while Basel are next best at 2.58, although we feel that this is one of those games that should be a draw.
Although Basel have the home advantage, they are in a bit of turmoil right now and with Thun in better form and having dominated the recent H2Hs, we’re siding with the visitors on the double chance market.
- Both clubs have been in mixed form recently with Basel losing two, drawing one and winning two of their last five, while Thun have lost three and won two of their last five.
- Thun have won one and lost one of their last two games, including a 3-1 home win over Basel and a narrow 0-1 home loss to Lugano, while Basel drew 3-3 with BSC Young Boys, lost 3-1 to Thun and 2-0 to Sion Sitten in their previous three games.
