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  • +125 US
  • 6/9 Fractional
  • 2.25 Decimal
FC Lugano logo
3 - 2
Full-Time
FK Red Star Belgrade (Crvena Zvezda) logo
UEFA Conference League - League Phase 2026/2027
Europe
/
UEFA Conference League - League Phase 2026/2027
/
AIL Arena

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Tips, Stats and Odds

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FC Lugano vs FK Red Star Belgrade (Crvena Zvezda) Predictions

  • Red Star form: FK Red Star Belgrade have won four and drawn one of their last five, so arrive in Switzerland in good rhythm.
  • Lugano form: FC Lugano have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten in all competitions, so arrive in similarly good form.

First-ever meeting between two top teams in good form

FC Lugano and FK Red Star Belgrade come into this game in similar form with Lugano having seven wins, two draws and one defeat and Red Star having seven wins, one draw and two defeats from their respective last ten, so we're likely to see a closely fought game when these two sides clash at the AIL Arena on Thursday.

The Bianconeri are one of the two most in-form teams in the Swiss top-flight, with three wins, one draw and one defeat from their last five, depending on which way the last two results are spun.

That's probably about right given that Red Star have won four and drawn one of their last five in all competitions, while Lugano have been involved in a similar mood swing with three wins in their last five matches.

  • Lugano brushed aside Lausanne-Sports 4-0 away from home in their Super League, but then slumped to a 1-3 home defeat against Serie A side Hellas Verona in a friendly just days later.
  • The Stars are a shade of a favourite at 2.48, with Lugano a slightly bigger price at 2.64 and the draw at 3.5.

Game should be open as Red Star can nick goals on their travels

Form and betting outlook

In terms of the overall form, Mattia Croci-Torti's men are more than holding their own in the face of a Red Star team that are in even better rhythm at the moment, so there's not much of a case to be made for an outright bet in this one.

Lugano's overall home record in all competitions (W3, D1, L1 from five) also suggests they are a tough nut to crack in Ticino.

Both teams have been scoring and conceding plenty of goals, with Lugano bagging 2.00 per home match and conceding an average of 1.40 at the other end, while Red Star average 1.20 away goals in all competitions and has scored six.

They should both be involved in the game, so Over 2.5 goals at 1.7 and Both Teams to Score at 1.55 look like great wagers, and Red Star to win and BTTS looks the sharp angle.

Tactical approaches

The teams set up and play very differently and that should make for an interesting chess match in Switzerland.

Lugano like to play patient soccer in their 4-2-3-1 system, looking to keep the ball for long periods and then strike on the counter.

Red Star are more flexible and operate at a much higher tempo with pressing traps and the transition from defense to attack.

So, it will be interesting to see how it pans out and, in our opinion, the most likely outcome is for a close game with the visitors edging it because they are in the better rhythm at the moment.

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Betting Tips

  • Tipped at
    2.40
    1X2
    FK Red Star Belgrade (Crvena Zvezda)
    Lost
    Explanation
    • FK Red Star Belgrade (Crvena Zvezda) has won 7 of their last 10 matches, showing strong form across recent fixtures.
    • In their last 5 away matches FK Red Star Belgrade (Crvena Zvezda) is 3-1-1, demonstrating consistent results on the road.
    • FC Lugano lost their most recent home game 1-3 and concedes 1.4 goals per home match (last 5).
  • Tipped at
    1.73
    Over/Under
    Over 2.5
    Won
    Explanation
    • FC Lugano's games average 4.1 total goals across their last 10 matches, strongly favouring Over 2.5.
    • In FC Lugano's last 5 home matches there have been 3.4 total goals per game on average.
    • FK Red Star Belgrade (Crvena Zvezda)'s recent fixtures average 2.7 goals across their last 10 matches, adding to total goals.
  • Tipped at
    1.55
    Both Teams To Score
    Yes
    Won
    Explanation
    • Matches with FC Lugano have seen both teams score in 8 of their last 10 games (80%).
    • At home FC Lugano has both teams scoring in 4 of 5 matches and concedes 1.4 per home game.
    • FK Red Star Belgrade (Crvena Zvezda) has scored in 4 of their last 5 matches (3-0, 2-1, 1-0, 0-0, 2-1), so they are likely to score.

Live Stats

Live Stats

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FC Lugano logo

Last 1 H2H matches

  • 1
    Won
  • 0
    Draw
  • 0
    Won
FK Red Star Belgrade (Crvena Zvezda) logo

Last Matches

  • Oct 15 2026
    N/A
    FK Red Star Belgrade (Crvena Zvezda) logo
    FC Lugano
    3
    FK Red Star Belgrade (Crvena Zvezda) logo
    FK Red Star Belgrade (Crvena Zvezda)
    2

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UEFA Conference League Group Stage Matches

Match Facts

  • FC Lugano vs FK Red Star Belgrade (Crvena Zvezda) who is better in the last 5 games?

    FC Lugano has 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loses in their last 5 games, while FK Red Star Belgrade (Crvena Zvezda) has 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loses in their last 5 games.

  • The last FC Lugano vs FK Red Star Belgrade (Crvena Zvezda). Who scored the goals?

    In the last FC Lugano vs FK Red Star Belgrade (Crvena Zvezda) the goals were scored by Dereck Alessandro Moncada Arguijo, Albian Ajeti, Timi Max Elsnik, Anto Grgic, Rade Krunic

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  • Late Goals (+85')
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