- Home form: Lokomotiv Moscow remain undefeated at home in the Premier League 2025/2026 season, winning seven and drawing six of their 13 matches.
- Recent form: Dinamo Moscow have won two and drawn two of their last five Premier League 2025/2026 matches, losing just once.
- Head-to-head: Dinamo Moscow have a superior recent head-to-head record with three wins to Lokomotiv’s two in the last five meetings in all competitions (no draws).
Lokomotiv Moscow have the consistency
The hosts will be happy to have only lost two of their last Premier League 2025/2026 games, but one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five isn’t the most convincing form. In their recent home matches, Lokomotiv have drawn both of their previous two games, which is a little frustrating but also indicates how tough they can be to beat.
Mikhail Galaktionov’s men sit in third place in the Premier League 2025/2026 standings with 49 points from 27 games, and their consistency has been one of the key factors to their success this term. Aleksey Batrakov has been their main man up top with 13 goals in 26 appearances, but Cesar Montes has made a big impact in recent weeks, scoring two of the team's last three goals for Lokomotiv in the Premier League 2025/2026.
Dynamo can make things difficult in Moscow
Manager and standing
Dinamo Moscow are no pushovers, however, and they head into this game with a great opportunity to keep the points chase going. Rolan Gusev has brought a fresh approach to the club since his appointment as manager in November 2025, and his men sit in eighth position in the table after picking up 38 points from 27 matches, 11 points fewer than their opponents on Friday.
Style of play
This should be an open and exciting Moscow derby, as Dinamo Moscow play a high-press system and like to play their wingers high up the field to stretch the defense. This can leave them open to the counter attack but they will look to press Lokomotiv Moscow at every opportunity, taking advantage of turnovers and looking to expose their defence.
Key players
Ivan Sergeyev has been Dinamo Moscow’s best attacking outlet this season with eight goals in 27 Premier League 2025/2026 appearances, but Nicolas Ngamaleu has enjoyed a resurgence lately, scoring two goals in the visitors’ last five matches.
Lokomotiv to win a high-scoring derby
Lokomotiv Moscow are a tough, compact, and disciplined unit and they’re usually well organised when making the transition from defence to attack. This will be a stern test for Galaktionov’s tactics as Dinamo Moscow are an aggressive, quick and exciting team.
Dinamo Moscow have won two of the last three head-to-head matches away from home, so they won’t be intimidated by the venue or their hosts. We think Lokomotiv Moscow will squeeze out a victory, but we expect this derby to be high scoring and entertaining with both teams finding the net.
- Dinamo Moscow score an average of 1.46 goals per away match and concede an average of 1.15 in the Premier League 2025/2026, so we know they can get on the scoresheet and games they play away are competitive.
- Lokomotiv Moscow score an average of 2.15 per home match and only concede 1.00 in return, which indicates they are defensively solid at home and have enough attacking quality to take the win here.
- Over 2.5 goals looks a solid bet with odds of 1.7, while both teams to score is just as well priced at 1.53, so we’re backing a Lokomotiv Moscow home win as the main pick with odds of 2.22.