- Team form: KuPS Palloseura are the best team in Finland and currently sit atop the Veikkausliiga 2026 with 39 points from 18 games, 14 more than 8th-placed FC TPS Turku (25).
- Away record: TPS have yet to win away from home in the Veikkausliiga 2026 (3 draws, 5 defeats from 8 matches), so they may not be quite ready to take on the league leaders.
- Home form: KuPS are undefeated at home in Veikkausliiga 2026 with 6 wins and 3 draws in 9 matches. They are 3-1-1 in their last 5 matches, beating TPS 2-1 away in the previous fixture six weeks ago.
KuPS look the likeliest winners at home
KuPS Palloseura have to be the likeliest winning team in this fixture based on their current form, the quality of their squad, the head-to-head record and the odds, which have them at 1.47 with TPS priced at 6.0 and the draw at 4.4.
The hosts arrive here in good shape after three wins in their last five, while TPS are in mixed form following two wins and three defeats in their last five.
KuPS beat VPS 3-1 at home in Veikkausliiga 2026 six weeks ago, followed by a 0-2 defeat to Sabah FK in UEFA Champions League Qualification 2026 and a 0-1 win away at IF Gnistan earlier today. TPS followed up a 1-0 away defeat to champions HJK by bouncing back with a 3-0 home victory over IFK Mariehamn yesterday, so they're looking to repeat the trick again here.
Two similar sides but TPS have more bite
Tactical approaches
TPS have a slightly more offensive mindset and will try to pressure KuPS here, whereas the hosts want to control the game, own the ball and squeeze the space. Both sides play a 4-2-3-1, so the battle in midfield and the chess match involving the double-pivot should be key in establishing which team dictates the tempo.
Key players
- Ivan Pinol has TPS playing with more bite and a front-foot, vertical intent – where they hunt turnovers and counterattack quickly.
- They'll look to catch KuPS off guard.
- Jaime Moreno is the main man for KuPS with 10 goals in 16 Veikkausliiga 2026 appearances, so the league leaders have a lethal finisher up front and are averaging 2.00 goals per home game.
- KuPS have scored 18 times at home in the Veikkausliiga 2026, and that's why they should get the better of TPS on Sunday.
An away win would be an upset
TPS have failed to win on the road in Veikkausliiga 2026 and they look unlikely to get a positive result at Savon Sanomat Areena, Finland, as KuPS are simply a better football team. Albijon Muzaci is TPS's key man with seven goals in 18 Veikkausliiga 2026 games, so he's the sharp edge to their attack, while Marius Koenkkoelae has provided three assists in TPS's last five, so he's a livewire on the break.
An over 2.5 goals bet at 1.64 looks a good way to approach this one as KuPS will pressure TPS into mistakes and the visitors will have a go on the counter, but I think a home win is the more likely outcome.
