- Varazdin form: Varazdin have been in good form in all competitions, going 6-2-2 in their last 10 matches.
- Hajduk form: Hajduk have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 in all competitions.
- Head-to-head: Hajduk are winless in their last 3 away games against Varazdin, suggesting a close match on Sunday.
A close game in prospect
HNK Hajduk Split enter as the slight favorites for Sunday's away game against NK Varazdin, priced at 2.07 with the hosts at 3.86 and the draw at 3.02. The market looks right on this one with Hajduk, who are steadier than dominant, having won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five.
That's not a strong enough recent form to justify a bet at odds-on, but Varazdin are no force to reckon with in the Croatian top-flight, winning three, drawing one and losing one of their last five. But they have been in such great shape across all competitions lately, that they seem to have momentum on their side in what is likely to be a chess match.
Hajduk’s approach and away form
Tactical setup
Gonzalo Garcia has done a wonderful job since being appointed on 1 July 2025, installing a more pro-active, front-foot style of play that is based around width, pressing and quick vertical combinations to get forwards and behind opposition defenses.
Away form and recent results
Hajduk's away record is not great with no wins in 5 (D3, L2), but they have been scoring 0.80 and conceding 1.40 per game on the road in all competitions, which should put Varazdin on alert. They do come into this match on the back of a 3-game winning streak, which has included a 2-0 home win over NK Istra 1961 Pula in the HNL 2025/2026 and a 3-2 home win over Jablonec in UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026.
Varazdin are on a roll
Home form and style
Varazdin are unbeaten in six home games, with four wins and two draws, and they have built a reputation for being rock-solid in all competitions under coach Nikola Safaric since he took over in December 2023. His side typically sit compact in a 4-2-3-1 formation and try to hit opponents on the counter attack.
Recent results
Their recent results include a 2-0 home win over MSK Zilina in UEFA Europa League Qualification 2026, followed by a 2-1 away loss to MSK Zilina, and a 2-0 home win over Pafos FC in the same competition.
Betting tips and conclusions
Luka Mamic is the spark in the Varazdin team and has scored three of the club's nine goals across all competitions in their last 5 competitive matches. That gives them the edge in transition, and we think that the matchup between Hajduk's wide pressure and Varazdin's low-risk shape should produce a relatively cagey game.
Hajduk beat Varazdin 3-1 at home in HNL 2025/26, but the overall record between the clubs is tighter and with Varazdin having not won any of the last 3 head-to-heads, but two of those finishing level, we have to lean towards the visitors in what could be a low-scoring draw or victory.
- Over 2.5 goals is priced up at 1.88, which is way too short for a matchup that may easily produce a 1-1 or 0-1 final score,
- Both Teams To Score – Yes looks good at 1.68.
- Hajduk's form and momentum suggest they will at least get a point from this trip, but Varazdin are on a great run of home results, so this is no free hit for the visitors.