- Home form: San Martín Tucumán have lost only 2 of their last 13 home games, in which they have scored 1.23 goals per game and conceded only 0.77 per game.
- Away form: Club Atlético Güemes have won only 1 of their 13 away games in Primera Nacional 2026, conceding an average of 1.92 goals per game.
- Standings: San Martín Tucumán are 14th in Primera Nacional 2026 with 35 points from 26 games, while Club Atlético Güemes are 36th with 21 points from 25.
San Martin should have the edge
Odds and home form
San Martin Tucuman enter Sunday's game as the 1.51 favorites against Club Atletico Guemes who are 7.7 and the draw is 3.4. The hosts should be the better side on Sunday, particularly as they have won just 4 of their 13 home games in Primera Nacional 2026.
Recent form and head-to-head
El Santo have a draw and a win in their last two games, 2-2 against Deportivo Madryn and a 2-1 away win over Chacarita Juniors, and have also been in poor form at home, where they have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 3 games. But they did beat Guemes 2-0 away 4 months ago in their previous Primera Nacional 2026 meeting and the all-time record is even at 1 win each and 3 draws in the last 5.
Tactics and key players
Alejandro Orfila's side are more set up to win with their structure first, while they are also more balanced across the field, with wing-backs who cover and can also provide width. Up top, Diego Diellos is a reliable outlet with 4 goals in 21 Primera Nacional 2026 games so far. The visitors have a transition game that is more direct and can look disjointed at times, but Juan Sotelo, with 9 goals in 19 Primera Nacional 2026 appearances, is their main goal threat.
Hosts should control the game
Güemes are in poor overall form with 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 5. They have had a difficult schedule, but should still have been winning at least one of those games.
Mariano Munar's side have struggled on the road in Primera Nacional 2026, winning only once in 13 and conceding an average of 1.92 per game.
- These two teams are far apart on the table, but San Martín Tucumán are clearly the better team and should control the matchup more often than not, so the best bet is a home win.
- It may not be a goal fest, however, so Under 2.5 goals is a good bet at 1.44, as is Both Teams to Score - No, also at 1.44.
- Although San Martín Tucumán have not won their last 2 at home against El Gaucho, this will still have some derby feel to it and a narrow home win is the best choice.
