- Home form: Santos FC have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their 10 home games in Serie A 2026, averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded.
- Away form: Chapecoense have failed to win any of their 9 away games in Serie A 2026, drawing 2 and losing 7, averaging 0.44 goals per game.
- Recent home: Santos have won 2 and drawn 1 of their last 3 home games.
Chape have the head-to-head advantage
Recent form
Chapecoense are the form favourites for this clash with 1 win and 4 defeats in their last 5, but Santos have been more reliable at home in Serie A 2026, so the hosts should still have enough to get a win on Saturday. The visitors are winless away in 9 attempts, averaging a dismal 0.44 goals per away game in the competition.
Standings and head-to-head
Santos FC are 15th in the table with 21 points from 19 games while their opponents are 20th and have only 9 points on the board after 18 games, but it is Chape who have had the better of their recent meetings. The last 2 games between the two in Serie A 2026 have both been won by Chape and they won the most recent clash 4-2 at home, but this time it should be a different story with the hosts eager for payback.
Santos should have the edge
Odds and form
- Santos are 1.49 to win and Chape are 6.2, with the draw priced at 4.2, which looks crazy considering the respective form of the two sides and the fact that Chape are yet to taste success on the road in Serie A 2026.
- Santos have been more solid at home of late, winning 2 and drawing 1 of their last 3, and they will get the win they need to move away from the relegation zone.
Tactics and key players
Cuca has his team set up in a more pragmatic style, controlling possession, maintaining structure and width, while Lacerda keeps Chape compact and reactive, with a low block, transition game based on discipline and quick counters. That should suit the home side, particularly if they can exploit the wide channels as they have done well lately and Gabriel is their main man with 5 goals in the last 5.
The value is in backing a home win
With Chape struggling on the road and desperate to end a 9-game winless streak away, the value looks to be on Santos and a home victory is the recommended bet for Saturday's clash.
Both Teams to Score – No is 1.91 and Under 2.5 goals at 2.1 also makes some appeal with Chape averaging 0.44 away while Santos have managed 1.50 at home.
