- Team form: Sevilla have scored 10 goals in their last 5 games with Isaac Romero bagging 3 times in that run.
- Top scorer: Lucas Boye is Alaves' leading scorer with 4 goals in LaLiga 2026/2027, from 6 appearances.
- Odds: Sevilla are 2.08 favourites for this match, which makes little sense, as Alaves are 3.5 and the draw is 3.3.
Sevilla have the edge
Tactical plan
Sevilla FC will be LaLiga 2026/2027's likelier winners against Deportivo Alaves this Friday, as Luis Garcia's high-energy side will aim to smother Babazorros in a suffocating 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1 press before striking on the break.
Sevilla should have an advantage in terms of territory because Alaves will look to set up a 4-2-3-1 or 4-4-2 block and hope to counter attack or grab a goal from a set-piece.
Odds and form
Los Nervionenses have a slight advantage in the odds market to win this fixture at 2.08, ahead of Alaves at 3.5 and the 3.3 odds on a draw.
Sierra's men have a mixed record of 3 wins and 2 losses at home in LaLiga 2026/2027, while Alaves are still seeking their first away win after four road games.
Counter-punching Alaves to make it tight
Quique Sanchez Flores took over on 3 March 2026 and has set his side up to be structured, disciplined.
Sevilla arrive in better form, having beaten Osasuna 2-0 in the league and Sporting Hortaleza 0-3 in the Copa del Rey on a back-to-back basis, but Alaves have a solid enough away record to suggest they can avoid defeat.
They're in poor nick, having won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches, so the hosts are the likelier winners, although Alaves will make it tough.
- Alaves will have to come here and play on the counter and from set-pieces.
- Los Babazorros have only conceded 5 goals in their four away games in the current LaLiga season, so they can certainly be expected to put up a good road block.
- Alaves have not won their last 3 league games, 2-1 at Celta Vigo and 1-2 at home to Atletico Madrid, either side of a 1-1 draw with Malaga, which looks to be a pretty accurate assessment of their quality.
Tight game on the cards
The oddsmakers are on side of the hosts, but we can't get on board at 2.08 when Alaves will be so compact and well-organised.
Backing a tight, cagey game that could turn into a counter punch-up seems the best bet here and that's why we're taking Under 2.5 goals at 1.65, with both teams to score priced up at 1.93.
Sevilla have conceded seven goals in five home games in the 2026/27 season, so they can be got at if the press is beaten.
Sevilla look to have the better goal power here with Miguel Angel Sierra, their main league finisher, on 2 in seven and Isaac Romero on 3 in the last 5, while Youssouf Fofana has supplied 3 assists in that same spell to drive their fast-flowing game forward.
