- Home record: Southampton have a perfect home record in Championship 2026/2027 (W4, D0, L0).
- Recent form: Pompey have drawn consecutive games, following a 2-0 win at home to Cardiff City and a 0-0 draw away at Charlton Athletic.
Saints still have the quality to clinch derby
Tactical approach
Southampton can win any kind of game they have to in order to win football matches, but they are most comfortable when they can play a free-flowing style. New boss Tonda Eckert has added some tactical flexibility to his side, with the Saints able to deploy a 3-4-3 base or adapt to 4-2-3-1 shapes.
Match outlook
They are able to press with intensity or play on the counter-attack, depending on the match situation, so the midfield battle between the teams will likely determine which team gets to impose their pace on the game. The result of this could go either way, but the hosts are a lot more likely to come out on top at St. Mary's Stadium, where they have been scoring goals at will in the Championship 2026/2027.
Pompey could be a threat in transition
Pompey are more solid and should offer a lot of resistance to the home side in this game, but John Mousinho's side does not lack quality in the forward areas.
They will get their chances to score at St. Mary's Stadium, but the 5.25 odds on the Pompey look a little rich, so we are supporting the home team at 1.57, albeit with less conviction.
- Southampton have scored 15 goals in total in their 4 home league games, which averages out to 3.75 goals a game, although they have leaked a few at the other end.
- Milovanovic is Pompey's most prolific striker with 2 in 5, but both teams are capable of scoring in this one, so both teams to score: Yes at 1.7 is an alternative to the low odds being given the hosts, particularly for a derby.
- Pompey have won, drawn and lost one of their 3 Championship 2026/2027 games on the road and have conceded just 1.00 goal per game.
Stalemates in last two meetings
The draw at 4.1 is also tempting given this fixture has finished level in the last two Championship 2025/2026 season campaigns, including a 1-1 draw at Fratton Park eight months ago. The sides are closely matched in terms of points, although Portsmouth have played a game fewer – Southampton are 13th with 10 points from 8 games and Pompey are 19th with 8 from 7.
Southampton are probably in the better form of the two with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 5, but we have to go with the 1-0 correct score prediction here as the derby and pressing battles could be the catalyst for the game to be tight and tough.
