- Team form: Union are unbeaten at home in their only game in Pro League 2026/2027, and Anderlecht are yet to win away after 1 game on the road.
- Recent home/away: Union have failed to win any of their last 2 home games (2 draws, 0 losses) and Anderlecht have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3 away games.
- Head-to-head: Union beat Anderlecht 5-1 at home 3 months ago in the First Division A – Championship Group 2026 and Les Mauves have failed to win any of their last 3 road trips to the Stade Joseph Marien.
Union’s compact mid-block and wing-back system can get on top of Anderlecht
Union St.-Gilloise should defeat Anderlecht on Sunday in what will be a tactical chess match between two coaches who like to play the ball on the ground, but who have the tactical nous to set up differently when required.
David Hubert's side have been rock solid at the back in Pro League 2026/2027 so far with 0 goals conceded in 1 home match.
He has kept the three-man backline and wing-backs system ticking over since taking the helm on 13 October 2025, while his team's compactness in a mid-block and aggressive counter-press will make life tough for Vitor Bruno's more modern, dominant footballing idea.
On paper, this game has the makings of a chess match with Union trying to overload Anderlecht with their wing-backs and Bruno trying to control the tempo with the ball and his most athletic runners in central midfield. But, when it comes to picking a winner, Union are a safer choice in the outright betting.
Les Mauves have more possession and athleticism
Odds and form
The price of 1.7 suggests this won't be a walkover for the 2026/2027 season and that is probably true enough given Anderlecht arrive in good form with 4 wins and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches.
Recent results
Les Mauves lost 1-0 to SK Beveren in the Pro League 2026/2027 and then hammered Kairat Almaty 3-0 away in the UEFA Europa League Qualification 2026.
Match dynamics
The Brussels derby is unlikely to be as open with Union likely to keep it very tight and looking to hurt Anderlecht on the turn. Danylo Sikan has looked in good shape for the visitors with 3 goals in his last 5 games and Les Mauves have scored 9 times in that spell, but they could easily be frustrated here.
Brussels derby should be close
Anderlecht have drawn a blank on the road in Pro League 2026/2027 after 1 match, so the home defence of Hubert's men should find them easy to deal with on Sunday.
- Backing Over 2.5 goals at 1.73 and Both Teams To Score Yes at 1.67 will cover most eventualities of an open Brussels derby, while Both Teams To Score No at 2.05 will land if it is as tight as we expect it to be.
- Anderlecht sit 10th in the Pro League 2026/2027 with 3 points from 2 matches while Union St.-Gilloise are 7th with 4 points from 2 games.
- Their recent head-to-head record also gives the edge to Union, who have won 4 of the last 5 and drawn none against Anderlecht.
