- Atletico Madrid have won two of their last three home games against Osasuna.
- Atletico Madrid are unbeaten in LaLiga 2026-2027 at home (W1, D1), averaging 2.00 goals per game.
- Osasuna have a 50/50 record away from home in LaLiga 2026-2027 (W1, L1), conceding an average of 3.00 goals per match.
Tight table clash in the Spanish capital
Atletico Madrid have seven points from their first four LaLiga 2026-2027 matches to sit 6th in the table, while Osasuna have seven from four to occupy 8th, so this mid-table clash at Riyadh Air Metropolitano will be a tight affair.
Los Colchoneros have won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five competitive matches, and are the form team here.
Los Rojillos edged Celta de Vigo 1-2 away and beat Getafe 1-0 at home, but their 5-2 away defeat to Deportivo Alaves showed cracks at the back.
It's a big ask for Osasuna to pull off an away win in the capital, but we could see some twists and turns in the game.
Alejandro Baena is Atletico’s spark
Oscar Fernandez has kept Atletico Madrid tick-tight and difficult to break down ever since he took charge in July 2021, although the personnel in the squad has changed over time.
They have a similar 4-4-2 formation with a hybrid 3-5-2/5-3-2 in the right conditions, but either way they will be very compact, while Osasuna attack more vertically, which should suit a tight and tactical affair on Wednesday.
Atletico have one or two reliable goal-getters in their ranks this season, but Alejandro Baena is their spark, with three goals in four LaLiga 2026/2027 games already and a real sharpness in the attacking third.
Osasuna have been playing with more vertical urgency since Luis Ramis took over in July 2026. They overload the wings and press hard immediately after the turnover, but the 3-0 defeat at Athletic Bilbao showed that they can be opened up at the back.
Ante Budimir is their danger man and he has been in stellar form, scoring four in four for Osasuna in 2026/2027 and five in their last five. He is the obvious target man for Ramis.
Home side can edge it
The Atletico Madrid are the odds-on favourites here, of course, and they have won this fixture the last two times they have played. Osasuna have had some decent results recently, but Atletico will have too much quality and this game is likely to go to the wire with Atletico having the quality to win the key moments.
Back the hosts to nick a win here, so we will take an Atletico Madrid win and both teams not to score as our main play, as it should be a cagey contest.
