- Valencia CF are 20th in LaLiga 2026-2027 with 1 point from 4 games.
- Alaves are 2nd in the standings with 10 points after 4 games.
Hosts have the momentum
Deportivo Alaves have won 4 and drawn 1 of their last 5 matches which is an excellent record by any standard, while Valencia CF have failed to win any of their last 5 games (D1, L4) as the Chés find themselves mired in their worst ever start to a LaLiga season.
Alaves have made a brilliant start to LaLiga 2026-2027 with 10 points from their opening 4 games and it has been a good news story for Babazorros fans right from the start of the season. Alaves have taken 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5 fixtures following a 1-1 draw away to Rayo Vallecano, which was followed up with home wins against Villarreal and Osasuna.
Valencia CF have lost 3 on the bounce in the league against Real Betis, Deportivo A Coruna and FC Barcelona and the pressure is beginning to pile on Carlos Corberan, who has been in charge of Valencia CF since 25th December 2024.
Style clash could make for a cagey affair
Alaves are the slight favourites here at 2.24, with Valencia at 3.45 and the draw at 3.0, which is about right given the hosts have a solid home record while Valencia are struggling on the road.
The Babazorros are built around a solid 5-3-2 structure which can also be deployed as a narrow back three in a 4-4-2 system to shut off the centre and allow them to hit teams on the counter. It's a pragmatic system but it's working and it has given them enough room for Angel Perez to operate.
Valencia will be looking to play at a much higher tempo here with Corberan's high-pressing 3-4-2-1 system attempting to press in the centre and win the ball back in dangerous areas. The problem is, Valencia have yet to get into top gear under Corberan and they have lost their only away game in the LaLiga 2026/2027, conceding 3 goals in the process.
Babazorros to get the job done
Alaves should have enough to edge this game on current form and given their home record, but Valencia are pressing for the ball high up the pitch which could lead to them pinning Alaves back and keeping this match closer than the odds suggest.
An under 2.5 goals bet at 1.62 looks a good bet given the potential for central congestion and the fact that this could easily develop into a cagey contest, as opposed to a shootout that would suit Valencia more. Alaves to win at 2.24 is the main selection, while a 1-1 draw at 3.0 appeals in the correct score market.
Lucas Boye leads the way for Alaves with 4 goals in 3 games in the Spanish top-flight this term (6 in 5 games overall). Umar Sadiq is the leading marksman for Valencia with 1 goal in 3, but the supply lines haven't been as good for Valencia this term.
