- Home form: Atletico are unbeaten at home in LaLiga 2026/2027, winning 1 and drawing 1 of their 2 games so far.
- Home goals: Atletico Madrid have averaged 2.00 goals per home game in LaLiga 2026/2027.
- Head-to-head: Atletico have won 2 of their last 3 home games against Osasuna.
Osasuna are a handful with Ante Budimir on the loose
Table and form
Atletico Madrid are 6th in the LaLiga 2026/2027 table with seven points from their first four matches and Osasuna are level on points but two places further down in 8th, so there is some tension to the fixture.
Form and key man
Simeone's men have won three, drawn one and lost one in their last five matches, but Osasuna are a solid team, particularly with Ante Budimir, who has bagged four goals in four LaLiga 2026/2027 games, in the line-up.
Head-to-head
Atletico have ruled this matchup lately, but Atletico won the last two meetings, including a 2-1 away win in 2025-26.
Los Colchoneros can win close game
The bookmakers, who have Atletico as short as 1.49 for the game, have this one all wrong as Osasuna are well-priced to avoid defeat at 6.2 while the 4.3 about the tie is worth backing.
The value lies in the BTTS – No at 1.91, which fits the profile of a home win in which Atletico do enough to control the game.
But his side, who are desperate to get back to Europe after a couple of years of disappointment, can be stopped, as Atletico showed with their 5-2 away defeat to Deportivo Alaves in the opening round of LaLiga 2026/2027.
That should make for a tactical and physical game with Atletico's low block trying to smother Osasuna's high-tempo breaks while the visitors will put pressure on immediately after turnovers. Atletico's home record has been good in the past against Osasuna, so we're going to take them to a narrow win on the night.
- Oscar Fernandez has kept Atletico Madrid structured and hard to break down since his appointment in July 2021, as they typically sit in a 4-4-2 formation, or a hybrid 3-5-2/5-3-2, and hit on the counter-attack.
- Luis Ramis, who took over in July 2026, has got Osasuna attacking vertically and getting Budimir the ball in the box with wide deliveries.
- Alejandro Baena has been a spark for Atletico this season, registering three goals in his four LaLiga 2026/2027 appearances, so he's the standout candidate to get a goal for the hosts.
