- Alaves form: Alaves have won 4 and drawn 1 of their last 5 games.
- Valencia form: Valencia have lost their last 3 matches.
Alaves can edge it at home
Valencia CF are having a rough period coming into this game against Deportivo Alaves, having lost 3 games on the spin following defeats to Real Betis, Deportivo A Coruna and FC Barcelona in LaLiga 2026/2027. Chés have had 5 games since their last win in all competitions (D1, L4) and they are already under real pressure with a 20th place standing in the LaLiga 2026/2027 table with only 1 point from 4 matches.
Carlos Corberan has led Valencia since 25 December 2024 and his high-tempo pressing game is still searching for lift-off.
Lucas Boye a big threat at home
Form and tactics
They are likely to struggle against Alaves, who sit 2nd in the table with an impressive 10 points from their first 4 matches of LaLiga 2026/2027. Quique Sanchez Flores has done a good job since taking over on 3 March 2026 with his compact and shape-based 5-3-2 or narrow back-three system producing a fast and furious 4-4-2.
Key players and form
The Babazorros are coming off back-to-back wins in this campaign after drawing their opener with Rayo Vallecano, then beating both Villarreal and Osasuna at home. and should edge this match despite Valencia's greater quality on paper.
- Lucas Boye is Alaves' main goal threat with 4 in his 3 LaLiga 2026/2027 matches so far, 6 in his last 5 for the club.
- Angel Perez has been the creative spark with 3 assists in 4 matches.
- They are unbeaten in their 3 home matches, conceding just twice.
Chés have struggled away against Alaves
Valencia have failed to win either of their last 2 away games against Alaves, and this one looks tricky again for the visitors, although the pressure they will put on the ball may be able to keep this closer than the odds suggest. The odds look too short on the hosts, who are available at 2.24 to win compared to Valencia at 3.45 and the draw at 3.0.
We'll stick with the home side for the win, but we can see this being a cagey match with Valencia trying to force turnovers. Alaves will want to keep it tight and counter and that's why under 2.5 goals at 1.62 looks the best bet in this matchup.
