- Rīgas Futbola Skola are the clear favourites at 1.22 and the draw at 6.8.
- IF Vestri have lost five in a row, losing 0-3 at home to FK Qarabag and 6-2 away at HK Kopavogur across their last two matches prior to this tie.
Skola have momentum
Rīgas Futbola Skola are the form team here and come into this game as the clear favourite against an IF Vestri side that have been in poor form. They are 1.22 to win with another win in Iceland, so an RFS win-and-control bet looks the sharpest angle for Thursday's first-leg action at Valbjarnarvoellur.
Viktors Morozs' men are possession dominant, playing either a 4-3-3 or a 4-2-3-1 and they are very proactive in their press. They should be able to pin the home side back and control the pace of the game here, although IF will be looking to counter attack and may have the odd success in transition.
Chriss-Albin Moerfelt leads the home team's scoring in UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026 with a single goal in one game, and he is Vestri's best bet of scoring at any time on Thursday.
Home team vulnerable at the back
Daniel Osafo-Badu's men are a compact and narrow 4-4-1-1 team that are set up to absorb pressure and break fast. But they have been really poor of late, particularly at the back, where they have been leaking goals throughout a five-match losing streak.
Across all competitions, IF have won just two, drawn two and lost six of their last 10 - and that sort of form says it all for an uphill task against a team that are on a roll. RFS have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last 10 in all comps and are clearly the more likely winner here.
RFS have won four and lost once of their five away fixtures in all competitions, which is a major plus for the away side in a game where the value lies in their chances of getting a result.
Rīgas should keep a clean sheet
Rīgas have scored nine times in their five road matches in all current competitions and that is a positive away stat when compared to Vestri's record of seven in four home games in all. But the goals markets are still the way to go for Thursday's UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026 clash as Both Teams To Score - No is 1.62 and Under 2.5 Goals is 2.5.
We're going for the Latvian outfit to keep a clean sheet, which is a live bet on Thursday, as this is a classic possession vs low-block underdog fixture. The visitors have momentum and an early advantage in the head-to-head after beating Vestri 4-1 in the first leg of this tie and look more likely to win with a shutout.
