- Newcastle have won two and drawn one of their last three matches, going into this with a two-game winning streak.
- Millwall have won three and lost two of their last five, going into this match after two consecutive defeats.
- Millwall have averaged 1.33 goals per game across all competitions at home (4 goals in 3 matches).
The Den, England: A cup tie where chaos is a variable
Millwall are in mixed form heading into the EFL Cup 2026-2027 second round on Tuesday, having won their opening three games but lost their following two. The Lions have beaten Cambridge United away 0-1, lost to Southampton and to Wrexham at home in the Championship since the end of the previous campaign. This run of five games gives a fair reflection of where Millwall are at in their development under Alex Neil, who has been in charge of the Lions since the 30th of December 2024.
Neil's side have proven themselves to be a direct, physical outfit, capable of getting men behind the ball, disrupting their opponent's rhythm and then transitioning quickly to score themselves. This 4-2-3-1 set up is narrow and compact, perfect for players who win their individual battles and aerial duels. Tairyk Arconte has been Millwall's danger man so far, having scored two of their six goals in their most recent five games.
Newcastle's recent form is a lot better than Millwall's with two wins and a draw in their most recent three games. The Magpies are riding a 2-game winning streak with a 2-2 home draw with Liverpool followed by a 3-2 win over West Bromwich in the EFL Cup and then a 2-0 away win against Tottenham. Matthias Jaissle has overseen this run since he came in on the 5th of August 2026 and his blueprint of high-intensity, coordinated waves of pressing football have certainly brought success so far.
Jaissle’s Magpies can take the tie if the visitors stay patient
Newcastle are 77/100 favorites to win this match with Millwall at 147/50 and the draw priced at 29/10. We feel that Jaissle's men should have enough in the tank to come away with the victory in this one, but we're taking the draw at 29/10 as our main selection given that this could stay tight if Millwall are able to frustrate the visitors early on.
Harvey Barnes has been the danger man for Newcastle so far with three goals in their last 5-game stretch which has seen them net eight goals. Millwall's average of 1.33 goals per home game across all competitions doesn't look like enough to trouble the Magpies, but Newcastle have shipped 11 goals in six away games this season and that will worry Jaissle. This is a real cup clash with Millwall looking for chaos and Newcastle looking to maintain a strong tempo and put their opponents under pressure.
