- New York City FC have won the last 5 head-to-head meetings with Toronto, including a 3-1 home victory in MLS 2025.
- NYCFC's Nicolas Fernandez has 11 goals in 16 MLS 2026 appearances, while Toronto's top scorer Daniel Salloi has 4 goals in 16 league games.
- New York City FC are 1.78 favourites to win this Friday's MLS 2026 game against Toronto FC, who are 4.35 and the Draw 3.85.
NYCFC have the edge in head-to-head history
New York City FC are 13th in the MLS 2026 standings with 22 points from 16 games and Toronto FC are 26th with 16 points after as many games. The hosts are strong favorites for this Friday's game at Yankee Stadium, but the visitors may get some joy if they can land the first punch.
Pascal Jansen's NYCFC side are playing a controlled, positional game where they want to dictate the rhythm of the contest with their ability to build up, overload wide and rotate in the half spaces. Robin Fraser's Toronto team are a little more simple - they are compact, they are aggressive and they look to win the ball back and counter quickly.
This sets up a bit of a chess match where NYCFC want the ball and Toronto want to force them to make mistakes, but the head-to-head record suggests the hosts will have the better of the game. NYCFC have won the last 5 meetings, including a 3-1 success here in MLS 2025, and Toronto haven't won at this venue in their last 2 attempts.
Fernandez to find the net again for hosts
New York City FC have been in mixed form of late, with two wins, a draw and two defeats in their last five, but they are usually a dangerous side when on top of their game. Their most recent league game was a 1-2 away win over Columbus Crew that came on the back of consecutive away defeats, but those weren't flattering results.
Toronto have had a tough run with no wins in their last 5 games and just 2 draws to show for 3 defeats. They have been solid enough in their last 2 away trips, drawing 0-0, but those games also showed a lack of sharpness that has been a theme all season long.
Nicolas Fernandez looks a strong pick for an anytime goal here given he has 11 in 16 MLS 2026 games and has 3 of the club's 5 goals in their last 5 matches, while Daniel Salloi is the top scorer in this Toronto team with just 4 in 16.
Take the home win and the goals
Our selection for this game is to take NYCFC to get the win at home, where they are 3-2-3 in MLS 2026, against Toronto who are 1-2-4 on the road.
Over 2.5 goals at 1.75 and Both Teams to Score at 1.72 both appeal in this one, but we're going to stick with a home win that seems to suit all the angles here. NYCFC should be the more positive side and Toronto's high-energy pressing style could keep this feisty enough for both teams to create some chances.
