- Home form: The New Saints FC have split four home matches at 2 wins and 2 losses in all competitions, conceding an average of 1.50 goals per game.
- Away form: Flora Tallinn have conceded 4 goals in their last 5 away matches in all competitions, winning 4 and drawing 1 of 5.
- Key player: Tony Varjund has 3 goals in Flora Tallinn's last 5 games, as Flora have scored 9 goals.
The New Saints face a real test
The New Saints' last 3 games have seen them lose 2-1 to Sabah FK in UEFA Champions League Qualification 2026 and lose 1-0 in the first leg against Flora Tallinn. This is a tough game for TNS, who will need to be near their best to get a result.
The New Saints FC have had a solid overall record of 6-4 over their last 10 matches in all competitions, but they don't have much of a margin for error in this game. Craig Harrison has done a good job since taking over in August 2022, making them a direct team with an efficient turnover game and the ability to play through the wide areas in attack, but they have relied heavily on Ryan Brobbel for goals recently, as he's scored 2 of their 4 goals in their last 5.
A game of styles
Contrasting approaches
This game is a classic European clash of styles. Craig Harrison's TNS want chaos and are a good team when they win the ball back and can play their way forward, whilst Flora Tallinn are a team set up to dominate possession and keep the ball in a patient build up. This is a typical game for them, as they set up with a number of creative midfielders, a pivot and full-backs who can stretch the field.
Flora attacking threats
Tony Varjund is the main finishing threat for Flora Tallinn, he has netted 3 in their last 5 as they've scored 9 times. Remo Valdmets offers them a little more spark, he has 1 in 1 in UEFA Conference League Qualification 2026.
Flora Tallinn have the better of this one
Flora Tallinn are 5-1-4 in their last 10 in all competitions, they are a little more hit and miss than the numbers suggest, but they have been better away from home.
Under 2.5 goals is 1.93 and Both Teams To Score – No is 2.0, which are both good prices, but I think this is a close game that will be tight, so the value is in backing Flora Tallinn to keep it in their control and continue their unbeaten streak in Europe.
- They drew 2-2 away to FC Iberia 1999 in UEFA Champions League Qualification 2026, before taking a step up in class and beating The New Saints FC 1-0, both results were in the road game.
- The New Saints FC are priced at 1.84, compared to Flora Tallinn at 4.14 and the draw at 3.8, which feels a bit off considering that Flora have 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5 on the road and are fresh off the back of taking the lead in this matchup.
