- Home record: Bayer 04 Leverkusen have won three of their four Bundesliga 2026/2027 home games, averaging 2.50 goals scored and 1.25 goals conceded per game.
- Recent form: Bayer 04 Leverkusen's recent form is even better when you take their last three into account, they have only lost 2-4 to Stuttgart in the Bundesliga 2026/2027, 0-1 to Marseille in the UEFA Europa League league phase and beat Köln 2-1 in the Bundesliga 2026/2027.
Back to basics for Leverkusen
Leverkusen’s form
Bayer 04 Leverkusen have been in and out of form this season, winning 2 of their last 5 games in all competitions and losing the other 3. They sit 5th in the Bundesliga 2026/2027 table on 16 points from 9 games, and face SC Paderborn 07 on Saturday at BayArena, who are currently 13th on 10 points from 9.
Leverkusen's form has been patchy at best but they are looking for their first back-to-back wins in any competition since the start of the 2026/2027 season, suggesting they are still a strong team in Bundesliga 2026/2027 terms.
The tactical picture
Carles Martínez has been at the helm of Die Werkself since 4 June 2026 and has been implementing his 4-2-3-1 setup, where Leverkusen dominate possession and are patient in their build-up play before unleashing their explosive rotations on the opposition with real pace and power.
Paderborn have been much more consistent in their form but have failed to translate it into results. They have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 in all competitions.
Paderborn’s play will make it scrappy
Pressing and possession
Ralf Kettemann has led SC Paderborn 07 since 1 July 2025 and has transformed them into a high-energy 3-5-2 which is relentless in their pressing. They have an urgency to their play which could make this a scrappy affair early on, but Leverkusen's control of the ball will try to bait their press and open up pockets of space for their players to exploit.
Head-to-head
Leverkusen have the edge in the head-to-head record with 2 wins from the last 3 in all competitions, most recently winning 4-2 away from home in the DFB Pokal a year ago, but Paderborn will need to work for it this weekend as they haven't won at Leverkusen in their last away game.
The betting picture
- Paderborn are the underdog to win this match, with Leverkusen available at 1.24, Paderborn 9.0 and the draw at 5.8.
- It's hard to get away from the fact that Bayer 04 Leverkusen should be winning this game and the fact they play at home makes it a formality.
- We're going for an over 2.5 goals bet at 1.35 as we expect Leverkusen to have the quality to break through Paderborn's press and also give their all in front of their home fans.
