- Team odds: Botafogo RJ are the slight favorites to win the game at 2.3.
- Away odds: CA Paranaense PR are 3.3 to beat Botafogo in their away trip to Rio.
- Recent form: Athletico's recent form (W2, D2, L1 from the last 5) is better than Botafogo's (W1, D2, L2) across the last 5 in all competitions.
Athletico can frustrate home team and earn a draw
CA Paranaense PR can frustrate Botafogo RJ and earn a result on Monday if Odair Hellmann's team stays organised enough to match-up to the home side's style of play. Furacão's last two performances have been strong, demonstrating bite and balance as they beat Santos 2-0 away in Serie A 2026 before a 1-1 draw at home to Bragantino last weekend.
Kevin Viveros has been the spark for them in recent weeks, grabbing three of their five goals in the previous five games. But Glorioso's recent defeats have been particularly concerning as they are on a worrying 2-game losing streak. They suffered a 6-1 Copa Sudamericana playoff defeat at Cienciano last Wednesday and were then beaten 1-0 by EC Vitória in Serie A 2026 on Sunday.
Hellas can squeeze Botafogo when they push up
Tactical setup
Franclim Carvalho has set Botafogo up to play in a 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1 formation, with a high proportion of controlled possession and dangerous transition play. But the team has looked vulnerable to counter-attacks and disorganized when the game gets chaotic – which it did against Cienciano.
Form and records
The stats suggest Furacão can at least avoid defeat in this game as Athletico have better form and are closer to the top of the table than the home team. Glorioso sit 11th in the Serie A 2026 table on 30 points from 22 games while Athletico are 3rd on 41 points from 23.
- Furacão have a superior away record of four wins, two draws and five losses from 11 matches in Serie A 2026 to Botafogo's four wins, four draws and two losses at home in 10 games.
- They have conceded 13 goals away – just one fewer than the 14 that have been conceded at Estádio Nílton Santos.
Both Teams to Score – No is a good angle
However, it is the head-to-head record that gives Odair's men the edge here as they have won three of the past five meetings while Botafogo have failed to win in their last two home games against Athletico. The visitors' style should suit them here as their press can squeeze the hosts into their own half, where turnovers and flank attacks will likely decide the contest.
Therefore, Both Teams to Score – No at 2.0 is a strong play on Monday as we anticipate a tight, cagey affair. Under 2.5 goals at 1.8 also fits our view of the matchup, but the odds have Botafogo as the narrow home favorites, which seems a bit optimistic given the visitors' greater quality.
