- Recent form: Chape lost 2-1 away to Coritiba and drew 3-3 at home with Bahia in their last two matches.
- Tricolor form: Tricolor have drawn three of their last five, including 1-1 away to Bolivar in the Copa Sudamericana playoffs and 1-1 at home with Coritiba in Serie A 2026.
- Betting odds: The bookmakers make Sao Paulo FC 2.0 favorites for this game, but Chape have a solid price at 3.75 and the draw is still a whopping 3.3.
Chape’s gameplan is to press and transition
Chapecoense SC have been struggling to string wins together since the opening few weeks of Serie A 2026 and are now sitting 20th in the table on 11 points from 22 games, while Sao Paulo FC are 13th on 27 points.
The bookmakers are making the Tricolor 2.0 favourites for this match, but that's far too short a price for Sao Paulo FC considering Chape have a good price at 3.75 and the line odds on the draw is 3.3. Chape's recent form is mixed-to-poor (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 defeats from last five), but Sao Paulo's is just as bad (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 defeats from their last five).
Tactics and key players
- Lacerda has Chape set up in a compact 4-2-3-1 formation that works to control the ball in possession, press selectively and get forwards quickly in transition.
- This gameplan is more reliant on individual brilliance to open up the game, but they have a playmaker in Giovanni Augusto that has been pulling the strings with three assists in the last five games.
- In terms of a scorer, Marcinho has been the most reliable with two goals in their five goals across the same period.
Tricolor play on a wider field with more tempo
Dorival Junior's Sao Paulo FC set up in a wider 4-3-3 formation that is built to keep the tempo of the game high and press as a unit. The visitors have been getting results with this system away, but they have an inconsistent record on the road (2 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats from 12 away games).
Their away record in Serie A 2026 doesn't paint a pretty picture, but they have scored 11 goals in those 12 games, so the visitors will feel confident they can grab the three points here. Chape's home form has been poor too (1 win, 5 draws and 5 defeats from 11 games) and it looks as though Sao Paulo are the likelier winners here, but the odds and the teams' recent form suggest this will be a tight game.
Under 2.5 goals is 1.73, and both teams to score is 1.83 for yes and 1.85 for no. Given that Sao Paulo will want to stretch the field and Chape will want to keep it tight, it's probably going to be a low-margin affair.
The most recent head-to-head also favours Sao Paulo, with Tricolor winning 2-0 at Cícero Pompeu de Toledo stadium in the previous Serie A 2026 campaign.
