- Team form: Patronato come into the game in mixed form after three draws and two defeats in their last five, while Quilmes are in mixed-to-poor form with two wins and three defeats in their last five.
- Head-to-head: Quilmes have failed to win either of their last two Primera Nacional 2026 games away at Patronato, though they won the home game 3-0 earlier in the season.
- Standings: CA Patronato currently sit 30th on 22 points from 21 games, whereas Quilmes have fared marginally better, sitting 25th on 24 points from 21 matches.
Tight, tense tie expected in Parana
These two teams will be familiar with each other's style of play after meeting in Primera Nacional 2026 three times. Patronato have taken 1 win, while Quilmes have also taken 1, with a 1-1 draw making up the total in the head to head stats.
This game is of real importance to both sides, sitting in the race for promotion and the reduced-round places in the Primera Nacional 2026, so expect a scrappy, tight matchup for that reason alone.
Coaches and tactical outlook
Marcelo Candia has led the hosts since 17th April 2026, but his Patronato have failed to find their rhythm, instead becoming a more direct, transitional side who like to sit in a compact block and hit on the break. Candia has changed his system multiple times since taking over, so there is a lack of cohesion to the whole.
Leandro Gracian has been the head coach of Quilmes since 4th March 2026 and the visitors have a much more consistent style, which is based around a controlled build-up, a positional order and coordinated pressing in either a 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1 system. Agustin Lavezzi is the star in their team, with the Argentine midfielder having 5 goals in 20 Primera Nacional 2026 appearances to lead the scoring charts, and he can really make the difference in the final third when Quilmes can get him into the wide channels.
Patronato have the edge in an awkward matchup
Patronato are the favourites at 2.45, ahead of Quilmes at 3.15, but the draw is also very appealing here at 2.67. However, we will side with the hosts to edge this tense tie in Parana.
Quilmes have a leaky away record in Primera Nacional 2026, with 1 win, 3 draws and 7 defeats from 11 games away. Patronato's home form is less terrible, but it's still 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 10, so they have no right to be favorites in this encounter.
Under 2.5 goals at 1.35 looks a safer pick however, as Patronato average 0.90 goals scored and 0.80 conceded at home in Primera Nacional 2026, and don't score many when they are on top. Hernan Rivero is the leading scorer for Patronato with 2 goals from 17 appearances in Primera Nacional 2026, and his team will need him to nick them the key goal on Sunday.
Quilmes have scored just 0.73 goals per away game in Primera Nacional 2026, which is just 8 goals total from 11 matches, so they struggle to create chances on the travel. We feel that this could be a chess match rather than a shootout, with the second balls and pressing traps likely deciding momentum in this tie.
- Quilmes beat Atlanta 2-1 at home, before they had a 1-0 defeat away to Ferrocarril Midland and a 1-0 loss at home to Colegiales.
- Patronato have drawn their last two games, including a 1-1 draw away at Gimnasia y Tiro before a 1-0 loss away to Ferrocarril Midland.
