- Head-to-head: Monterrey have won two of their last three home head-to-heads.
- Away form: Atleti have taken just 1 draw and 1 loss from their two away trips in the Liga MX 2026/2027.
- Home form: Monterrey are unbeaten at home in the Liga MX 2026/2027, winning two from two.
Monterrey to get their man in San Luis
Monterrey style
Matias Almeyda has been in charge of Monterrey since 1 July 2026, and he has stamped an identity of a compact, high-pressing side on to Rayados, who play an aggressive, vertical game of pressing their opponents hard and transitioning quickly to score when they win the ball.
Atleti approach
On Monday, Almeyda's men play the 16th-placed team in the Liga MX 2026/2027, Diego Mejia's Atletico de San Luis. Atleti are more structured and adaptable, and Mejia, who has overseen the team since 1 July 2026, employs a similar plan of organising the side in transitions and pressing after loss, but they can get caught out when teams win the second ball in the wide areas and they also lack Monterrey's quality and momentum.
Atleti aren’t the team to upset the favorites
Monterrey are sitting in seventh with 9 points from five games, while Atleti are 16th with three points from the same number of fixtures, so it's no surprise that the odds for this game are heavily loaded in favor of the home team. At 1.5, Monterrey are too low to back, with the draw at 4.45 and Atleti at 5.7 being much more appetising, but with Rayados' home firepower and Atleti's poor recent form, it is hard to get behind anything other than a home win.
Atleti have not been impressive recently, winning none of their last 5 across all competitions (D1, L4). In the Liga MX 2026/2027, a 3-0 defeat at Club America was followed up by a 1-1 draw at home to Pachuca, but that result wasn't enough to keep them afloat.
Goals should flow at both ends
Rayados arrive on the back of a 6-1 Liga MX demolition of FC Juarez and a 2-1 home victory over Nashville SC, but a 2-0 loss to Club Leon on the road dampened that momentum, although they still have a decent shot at a 2-0 win here.
Over 2.5 goals at 1.55 is the sharp bet for this encounter, while both teams to score at 1.62 looks like a similar price, but this should fall into Monterrey's lap if the stats hold. Atleti have some good wingbacks and they will try to close the game down, so we're expecting a competitive match with a few goals.
- Rayados have averaged an incredible 4.50 goals per game at home in the Liga MX 2026/2027, netting 9 times, while Atleti have been leaky away, conceding 2.50 per game on average and scoring just 1.00.
- David Rodriguez has scored 2 of Atleti's 6 goals in their last 5, while Rafa Llorente has scored 2 in 5 Liga MX 2026/2027 games, so both could be the best attacking options for a goal at the BBVA stadium.
