- Chicago form: Chicago have won 1 of their last 5 games and lost 4, losing each of their last 4.
- Bay FC form: Bay FC are also in a rough patch with 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 and have dropped 3 straight.
Red Stars and Bay in a mess
Chicago Red Stars are 16th in the NWSL 2026 standings with 12 points from 17 games and are really on the bottom of the table, desperately scrapping for momentum. Bay FC are not much better off in 14th with 18 points from 17, which is another bottom half position in which they're desperately scrambling for rhythm.
Bay are the clear favorites at 1.6, while Chicago are priced at 4.52 and the tie at 3.92, which doesn't make much sense given the way these two teams have been playing. We like the Over 2.5 selection at 1.59 and Both Teams To Score – Yes at 1.62 here as this should be an open and back-and-forth matchup.
Both teams have their stars
Key players
The Red Stars' spark has come from Jordyn Huitema, who has 2 of their 4 goals across the last 5 games, while Bay FC's danger woman is Karlie Lema, who has 3 of their 7 across the same period.
Tactics
Chicago boss Martin Sjoegren is building a control footballing team, he wants his side to keep the ball, create a rhythm in possession and make it a game of progress in the middle. Emma Coates has made her Bay FC team more dangerous when they've nicked it as they have compacted into a 4-2-3-1 and have been quicker through transition, but these are two teams in a slump.
A classic control vs counter battle
We're going with the form team and the odds-on favorite to come up a little short here, but we do think this will be a close match with Chicago's control game keeping it tight.
- Chicago's last 3 defeats have been a 0-2 home loss to Angel City FC, a 1-0 defeat at Orlando Pride, and a 2-1 loss away to Racing Louisville.
- Bay FC have not lost the last 2 home games against Chicago after Chicago beat them 1-0 away in the 2026 edition of this fixture.
- This is the classic control versus counter matchup in which Chicago will look to slow the game down and Bay FC will look to exploit the gaps in behind.