- Team form: Guemes have won two and lost three of their last five matches.
- Gimnasia form: Gimnasia Y Esgrima de Jujuy have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five.
- Home defence: Atletico Guemes have conceded 10 goals in 9 home matches in Primera Nacional 2026 (1.11 goals/ game).
Guemes must find consistency
Managerial changes and form
Atletico Guemes' 2026 campaign in Argentina's Primera Nacional has been a tale of two halves. Pablo Guinazu took over as manager in May 2026 and has struggled to find the right formula to get Guemes moving forward. A 4-1 defeat at Temperley last time out was countered by a 1-0 home win over Deportivo Maipu the previous week, so the team is still adjusting to Guinazu's tactical ideas.
Tactical profile and standings
Guemes usually line up in a 4-4-2 formation, with Juan Sotelo as their goal threat. The home side likes to control the ball and try to stretch the play, but they are still not where Guinazu wants them to be. Gimnasia Jujuy, on the other hand, are flying in 3rd place with 33 points, while Guemes sit 28th with just 19 points after 17 matches.
Hernan Pellerano has brought structure and discipline to Gimnasia Jujuy since taking over as coach in November 2025. The side have not lost in two matches against Guemes, claiming a 1-0 home victory in Primera Nacional 2024, but they are less consistent away from home, where they have won just two, drawn two and lost four in Primera Nacional 2026.
An even contest in prospect
Sunday's game should be a close and cagey matchup with at least one of the teams struggling to break the deadlock.
Gimnasia are a tough nut to crack when operating in their preferred 4-4-2 or 4-4-1-1 system, as they like to circulate the ball, control the game and move it quickly in transition.
Gimnasia are in the better position in the table and have a shaky away record, so we will side with a draw in this one at 2.97.
But with the away team conceding 14 goals in 8 Primera Nacional 2026 fixtures and the hosts having only conceded ten times in nine home matches, we will also take 'Both teams to score – No' at 1.76 and 'Over 2.5 goals' at 2.24 as an additional bet.
- Guemes, by contrast, will want to play through the middle, which will be a test of Gimnasia's tactical discipline and pressing.
- However, the home team's defensive organisation isn't quite there yet and that could be a problem against a side that has scored five times in 14 league matches with the reliable Cristian Menendez at the pointy end of their 4-4-2 formation.
- Guemes are on a two-match winning streak at home, but Gimnasia arrive on the back of a 4-0 victory over Nueva Chicago and remain unbeaten in the last two meetings between the clubs.
