- Home form: Nueva Chicago are unbeaten in their last 3 home games (W1, D2).
- Away form: Atletico Guemes have won just 1 of their last 8 Primera Nacional 2026 away games (D2, L5).
A game for the purists
Nueva Chicago will be the slight favorite for Saturday's Primera Nacional 2026 game against Club Atletico Guemes, although the gap in odds between these two sides is tight at 1.97, 3.8 and 3.04 respectively.
The head-to-head record between these teams is tied at 1-1 across the last 2 fixtures, with Nueva Chicago edging it 1-0 when they last visited Club Atletico Guemes 4 months ago in Primera Nacional 2026, and the visitors have just 1 win from their last 8 Primera Nacional 2026 road games (D2, L5).
Nueva Chicago have found their rhythm
Nueva Chicago's form has been mixed across their last 5 matches (W1, D2, L2) but they head into Saturday's matchup in much better shape than Guemes, who have 2 wins and 3 defeats from their last 5 and enter this game off the back of consecutive defeats.
They were beaten 4-1 away at a decent Temperley side a fortnight ago and then suffered a 3-1 defeat at home to a struggling Gimnasia Jujuy a week later. The only positive that Nueva Chicago manager German Lanaro, appointed 22 May 2026, can take from those games is that their side remain compact and have some structure in possession.
Guemes are solid at home, but not so good on the road
Away form
Guemes have just 1 away win in 8 Primera Nacional 2026 trips, a sequence of results that has included 2 draws and 5 defeats, so they'll be desperate to end that run here.
- Pablo Guinazu's men average 1.00 goal per-game on their travels in Primera Nacional 2026, although they haven't been able to convert those opportunities into points.
- Juan Sotelo has 6 goals in 12 Primera Nacional 2026 games so remains their biggest threat in the box.
- Sebastian Cocimano has 5 goals in 16 Primera Nacional 2026 matches and provides Chicago with their best finisher.
Tactics and threats
Guemes will sit in a 4-4-2 or a similar compact block, getting men behind the ball, keeping their shape and countering at tempo.
Nueva Chicago set up in a 4-2-3-1 or a 4-3-1-2 shape, look to dominate the middle third and try to play on the front foot with tempo.
The verdict
Nueva Chicago are the more likely winner here based on recent form and their superior home record, which shows 2 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeat in Primera Nacional 2026. However, Chicago were beaten by Guemes in the last home head-to-head, so this one may well be close.
At 1.43, Under 2.5 goals is good value here as neither of these teams have been prolific in front of goal and 6 goals in 9 home fixtures points to a similar low-scoring clash. A Nueva Chicago win looks more likely as Lanaro's team have more of a structured game plan and have shown in recent games that they can grind out results, so we're going for a 1-0 home win, with a low stakes wager on Both Teams To Score No at 1.61 also advised.
