- Odds: Ludogorets are favourites to win the match at 1.29, but Lokomotiv are 9.65 and the draw is 5.05.
- Totals: Under 2.5 goals is 2.16, while BTTS – No is 1.69.
- H2H: Ludogorets Razgrad have no wins in the last 3 head-to-heads, but Lokomotiv Plovdiv have only one victory in the same period, with two ties.
Two strong, but different, sides will go head-to-head
Odds and form:
The market is correct about Ludogorets' superior credentials in this match, but the odds are on the skinny side for the home team to come out on top against a well-organised and dangerous PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1936.
Ludogorets' form is mixed across their last five games, returning two wins, one tie and two defeats, a sequence which is much more patchy than is typical for a side which are usually expected to boss the game. Lokomotiv's form is more balanced across the last ten, W4, D2, L4, which is what you'd expect from a side with a more pragmatic approach and a hoodoo to break here in Bulgaria.
Recent performances:
- The hosts have scored just four goals across their last five home games in all competitions, a rate of just 0.80 goals per game, but they have been in good shape at home of late, winning one and drawing two.
- Lokomotiv's last three results have been a 4-0 away defeat to Arda Kardzhali, a 1-1 home draw with CSKA Sofia (before losing on penalties) and a 2-1 home win over Botev Plovdiv.
- Dušan Košić has kept Lokomotiv in good order since taking charge on 19 December 2024 and they set up to frustrate opponents.
Plovdiv can set up a good game
Ludogorets play a control-based style, they press the ball well when they have it, and they have some good combinations out wide with their full-backs overlapping. But this is a short-term transition period for the coaching staff and their recent form is patchy at best. Lokomotiv are compact, pack the midfield and look to counter either vertically or via overloads on the flanks.
This contrast in styles should make for a tactical game, with Ludogorets trying to pin Plovdiv back and the visitors looking to break the lines. However, the home side should be able to nick this in the end, and we're siding with them to take the win in a low-to-mid scoring game.
Joel Zwarts has three goals in his last five appearances for Lokomotiv and he's been providing bite in front of goal for them recently, so he could be the best bet in the anytime scorer market.