- Team form: Septemvri Sofia are undefeated in their last 5 home games in all competitions (W1, D4).
- Recent run: Arda Kardzhali have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 in all competitions.
Head-to-head record heavy, but Arda have edge
Arda look to be the better bet at 1.95 on Saturday, when they travel to Lokomotiv, Sofia, Bulgaria, to face a side they have won 4 of their last 5 meetings against without a draw. Arda are the slight favorites at 1.95, with Septemvri Sofia priced at 4.01 and the draw at 3.22 in the early line.
This fixture has been a happy hunting ground for Arda over the years and, although we can only find 5 previous meetings in Parva Liga 2025/2026, we feel their knowledge and experience will see them through.
A classic style clash in the making
Home form
Septemvri are undefeated in their last 5 at home, but they have only won one of those games. Septemvri have also been a hard team to beat lately, although they have failed to turn the screw when leading.
Form and tactics
Arda are in great form and it's worth remembering that the last meeting between these sides finished 4-1 to the visitors in Parva Liga 2025/2026, which is why we are siding with them even though they are very close in the odds.
Arda have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 in all competitions, which is a very solid but unspectacular record for a side that have been unbeaten in their last 3 and won each of their most recent 3 games.
Simao Freitas has set them up to be tight, tough to break down and very risk-averse, while Aleksandar Tunchev's men have much more of a flow to their football, especially in transition.
Stick with Arda
The market seems to suggest this will be a tight game and it probably will be, although we are getting the visitors as slight favorites at 1.95, which is very fair given their recent form.
We are going with Arda as our main selection, but given Septemvri are very strong at home, Under 2.5 goals at 1.64 looks a decent bet.
- Septemvri Sofia have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, but their most recent results have seen them win 1-0 away to Beroe Stara Zagora and draw 1-1 at home to Dobrudzha Dobrich.
- Arda have won their last two, beating Lokomotiv Plovdiv 4-0 at home and Cherno More Varna 3-2 away, which suggests they have more than enough to get the job done this weekend.
- Huseynov has been on a hot streak recently, scoring 3 of Arda's 9 goals in their last 5 matches, so they should have the finishing touch to see off Septemvri.
- Septemvri's home record this season reads one win and four draws with 0.60 goals scored per game and only 0.40 conceded, so it's clear they are a compact and cautious outfit.
- Arda play in a 4-2-3-1 system that gives them width and thrust, so expect them to hurt Septemvri with their tempo and wide overloads when on the transition.
