- Head-to-head: Philadelphia Union have won only one of the last five MLS 2026 head-to-heads, with Orlando City SC winning three and drawing one.
- Form: The Lions are coming off consecutive defeats.
- Top scorer: Orlando City SC have their top scorer in MLS 2026, Martin Ojeda, who has bagged 12 in 20 games.
High-scoring affair likely in tight clash at Subaru Park
Philadelphia Union are the clear favorites for Saturday's game at 1.49, but that looks a bit tight against an Orlando City SC team that have won three of the previous five meetings in MLS 2026 and came out on top the last time they met – 4-3 in the home leg of this fixture earlier in MLS 2026. The Lions are available at 5.1 to do so again, with the draw 4.9.
That's a lot to get on, but Philadelphia have not won either of their last two home games against Orlando. They have been in good form, winning their last five in all competitions, but they have an inconsistent record against the Lions.
It's hard to pick a winner here as it is a classic style clash. Ryan Richter's Union do not look to have deviated from the high-risk, high-return, high-intensity pressing-and-swarming approach, and they have every chance of creating a turn of chaos in the opponent's defensive line.
Orlando’s set-piece threat can make them a problem
Orlando's strengths
But Orlando, who have been in mixed form with three wins and two defeats in their last five, have the possession, pressing, vertical combination play and set-piece menace to take advantage of any slip-up by the Union.
Standings and odds
Martín Perelman's side are currently 14th in the table with 34 points from 26 games, so this game does have a real six-pointer, with Philadelphia 13th with 36 points from the same number of games. Both teams to score is favored at 1.42 and over 2.5 goals is 1.33. But those odds look about right, especially as Philadelphia's home stats are much better than their away numbers and the hosts have won both of their previous two MLS 2026 games at Subaru Park.
The Union, who thumped San Diego FC 5-0 away last weekend, beat Toronto FC 3-0 at home in MLS 2026 before losing away to Columbus Crew in the US Open Cup and New England Revolution in MLS 2026.
They score 1.58 goals per game at home and have a tight 0.92 per game conceded, which seems to have set them up well for this game. However, the Boys in Blue will still win, like their 4-3 away success at Sporting Kansas City on May 28, while Orlando, who average 3.31 per away game, will be up for it.
Iloski still the Union’s most trustworthy finisher
Philadelphia look more likely to edge this shootout, but Orlando's ability to hurt Philadelphia in the final third makes the draw a distinct possibility here.
- The visitors have Antoine Griezmann, who has four goals in Orlando's last five.
- But the most reliable finisher in their ranks is Martin Ojeda, who has 12 goals in 20 MLS 2026 appearances, giving the visitors the edge at the sharp end of the pitch.
- Milan Iloski leads the way for the Union with 13 MLS 2026 goals in 26 appearances, but Justin Ellis has provided three assists in their five-game winning run to give the hosts the edge in what could be a very close and exciting game.
