- Head-to-head: Atalanta Bergamo have won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head games against SSD Monza 1912 in all competitions.
- Recent form: Monza's recent form is poor (W1, L4) and they are winless in 2 home games against Atalanta.
- Away scoring: Atalanta are averaging 1.25 goals per away game in Serie A 2026-2027.
Sarri has made La Dea more methodical
Monza's man-oriented press has been effective in unsettling teams at times in Serie A 2026-2027, but they also leave gaps at the back if Atalanta can play through the lines on Sunday. Ivan Juric's side have gone 3 games without a win and were destroyed in a 1-4 defeat by Napoli at home.
However, a 2-1 defeat at Bologna in their last away game shows that the Biancorossi are capable of being dangerous when they get out of their own half. Juric has been Monza head coach since 1 July 2026 and has developed their 3-4-2-1 approach to be built around pressing and attacking vertically.
Maurizio Sarri took over at Atalanta on 15 June 2026 and has changed the approach to be more controlled, 4-2-3-1 with high pressing and combination play in the final third.
Dea’s extra quality can see them home
Goal scorers and form:
- Monza have the Serie A 2026/2027's leading scorer, Gustavo Varela, who has scored 4 goals in 4 games and his form has been the reason why the home side are still in the match.
- Varela has 5 goals in his last 5 games and has scored 5 of the Biancorossi's 9 goals during that run.
- Ederson is the lead scorer in Serie A 2026-2027 with 1 goal in 5 games for Atalanta, while Nikola Krstovic has provided 3 of their goals in the last 5 games.
Statistics and prediction:
Atalanta's form is inconsistent, with 0 wins in their last 5, 3 draws and 2 defeats, but they have a psychological advantage in this game as they have dominated this fixture in recent years. They have not lost to Monza in their two away games but have won the last 5 meetings between the clubs, so the away trip shouldn't phase the visitors.
Monza have won two and lost two of their four home Serie A 2026/2027 games, averaging 2.25 goals for and 2.00 against, while Atalanta have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their 4 away trips, averaging 1.25 away goals. We're taking Atalanta to win this away match in a high-scoring game with goals at both ends. Atalanta to beat Monza, Over 2.5 goals and Both Teams to Score - Yes is our selection, with Atalanta coming in at 2.05 and the other two selections at 1.6 and 1.5, respectively.
