- Recent form: Toronto FC have lost their last three matches, but are a better team than CF Montréal.
- Standings: Toronto FC are 27th in MLS 2026 with 29 points from 27 games; CF Montreal are 29th with 24 points from the same number of games.
- Home record: Toronto FC have won four, drawn eight and lost two of their 14 MLS 2026 home games, but the draws are holding them back.
Don’t be tempted by odds-on Toronto
Toronto FC will be the favorites to win the Canadian Classique against CF Montréal this Saturday at BMO Field in Canada. The Reds are in poor shape, while the visitors have mixed form, but are still odds-on to win.
The odds-on favorite for this Canadian Classique looks to be a bit too short for a Toronto FC side that has lost its last three games and only won one of its last five. Coach Robin Fraser's pragmatic 4-2-3-1 set-up, installed on 10 January 2025, relies on structure and transition play. The Reds' home form isn't too bad, winning four, drawing eight and losing two of their 14 MLS 2026 games, but the number of draws is holding them back.
Reds may be worthy favorites, but won’t run away with it
Form and tactics:
CF Montréal have won just two of their last five MLS 2026 matches, losing the other three. Philippe Eullaffroy has coached CF Montréal since 12 April 2026 and his compact, narrow mid-block is built to absorb pressure and counter fast.
Match outlook:
Toronto have enough quality and momentum to pull out a result at BMO, but don't expect them to run away with it. The last two MLS 2026 meetings between the teams have ended even, with the most recent one coming two months ago in Montréal, which finished 0-0. Toronto have failed to beat the Montreal outfit in their last two home games.
A compact and counterpunching CF Montreal may be able to keep the game close and Toronto's organisation-first approach isn't one that lends itself to opening up games. Fraser's men have scored an average of 2.07 goals at BMO in 2026 while conceding an average of 2.00, so we have seen plenty of goalmouth action at the site. The derby atmosphere should help both teams, but the Montreal team have conceded 36 away and have a poor away record in 2026.
Osei Owusu to outscore Salloi in a derby draw
Key players:
- Daniel Salloi is Toronto's main goal source this term with seven in 27 games, but that's still not enough to get the home side going.
- Joshua Sargent has added a spark to the team with three in his last five.
- Prince Osei Owusu is the talisman of the Montreal side in MLS 2026 with 15 goals in 25 games.
- He has four of the team's last six goals and can outscore Salloi in a 1-1 draw that suits the underdogs.
Betting outlook:
Over 2.5 goals at 1.5 is the main recommendation for what should be a derby game with chances at both ends, while both teams to score at 1.45 also fits the selection.
