- Recent form: The Red Bulls have won three of their last five matches, while Toronto FC have won two and lost three of their last five.
- Home scoring: New York Red Bulls average 1.57 goals per home game and concede an average of 1.93 goals per game in MLS 2026.
- Away scoring: Toronto FC have only averaged 0.77 goals away from home in MLS 2026, scoring just ten goals on the road all season.
An exciting game in prospect
The home team are the favorites at 2.12, while Toronto are 2.9 and the draw is 3.95 for this Saturday's MLS 2026 clash at the Sports Illustrated Stadium in the USA. It would seem that the oddsmakers feel that New York Red Bulls have a slight advantage, which is correct in the table, but Toronto will be competitive.
The hosts are 16th in MLS 2026 with 36 points from 28 matches, but Toronto FC sit below them in 23rd place with just 32 points from 28 games. That's a pretty decent gap to bridge in just one match, but New York Red Bulls have been more consistent than the Canadian side, so it could be a close game.
The Red Bulls have had a rough couple of weeks, losing 0-3 at home to St. Louis City and then beating San Diego FC 4-1 at home, which suggests the hosts still have plenty of punch, but are a little wobbly. Toronto have won just two and lost three of their last five games, including a 2-0 defeat to Nashville SC and a 2-1 home win over CF Montreal, which indicates that the Reds are competitive but with some significant issues on the road.
Toronto’s away form is a concern
Away struggles
Toronto have only won two of their 13 MLS 2026 away matches, drawing three and losing eight, which makes them vulnerable in this fixture.
Tactical battle
Michael Bradley has pressed his side into a high-tempo, aggressive group that looks to win the ball high up the field and turn chaos into chances. This style of play has suited the Red Bulls well, but they remain vulnerable to counter-attacking teams such as Toronto.
Robin Fraser has fashioned an adaptable Toronto team that can morph from a back four to a back three while absorbing pressure, or switching to a three at the back to get forward.
Key players
- The Reds aren't as prolific as the Red Bulls, however, so Julian Hall is likely to be the spark that gets New York Red Bulls the win.
- Hall has scored ten goals in 25 MLS 2026 appearances and has scored two of his side's last six goals in four games, but Daniel Salloi has been Toronto's main man with seven goals in 27 games.
- So the Canadian's striker is their most likely route to a breakthrough.
Don’t write off the visitors
New York Red Bulls have five wins, three draws and six defeats in MLS 2026 home form, so while the home advantage gives them a platform to win, Toronto have enough quality and a different style to keep this close. The last three head-to-heads in MLS 2026 lean towards New York Red Bulls with one win and two draws, but the last game finished 1-1 at Toronto, which shows this fixture can stay close.
New York Red Bulls have scored 1.57 and conceded 1.93 goals in their home MLS 2026 games, so it looks like an open game, but Toronto's ability to shape-shift makes this more like a chess game than a wide open shootout.
Both teams to score looks live at 1.36 and the over 2.5 goals at 1.4 looks good to match the Red Bulls' open home numbers. However, the 2.12 for New York Red Bulls is also worth a small stakes bet because Toronto's road record in 2026 is a huge red flag.
