- Head-to-head: The last 3 head-to-head meetings have all been between these two clubs have seen Ajax win none (D1, L2).
- Recent form: AZ Alkmaar are unbeaten in 2 (D1, W1) since their last meeting, beating FC Ararat-Armenia 4-0 away in the UEFA Europa League last time out.
- Ajax home form: AFC Ajax have won just one of their last 5 home league matches in the Eredivisie 2026/2027 (W1, D3, L1).
AZ’s away form and head-to-head edge can help them avoid defeat
League context
The Eredivisie 2026/2027 is one of the most open we can remember in recent times and, with 18 points from nine matches, 4th-placed AFC Ajax are still in the hunt to win it, but only just. Their hosts on Saturday, 2nd-placed AZ Alkmaar, are looking to set the pace.
Form and tactical notes
The head-to-head record between these clubs gives the advantage to AZ, who have drawn one and won two of the last three meetings, while they're also the form team in this fixture as they head into the matchup unbeaten in two.
That run includes a 4-0 away win over FC Ararat-Armenia in the UEFA Europa League and a 2-2 draw away to Cambuur in the Eredivisie last weekend.
Ajax have responded to their 2-1 away defeat to HNK Hajduk Split in the UEFA Conference League last week with two straight wins, beating FC Groningen 5-2 in the Eredivisie before seeing off Atalanta 2-0 at home in midweek. Míchel Sánchez's 4-3-3 base and high-line, possession-based game should enable his side to control the tempo and get bodies behind the ball when necessary, but AZ are an opponent that can cause them problems.
Expect a high-tempo, end-to-end matchup
Lee-Roy Echteld has given AZ a vertical, pressing-heavy identity, and their style of play should suit a game in which they'll be expected to press high and try to win the ball back quickly.
Mexx Meerdink has scored four goals in AZ's last five games and they are very much a team that have found the net regularly throughout this run, while Julian Brandt's four Eredivisie goals makes him Ajax's top scorer.
We're backing the visitors to nick this matchup, but the narrow price on Ajax at 1.94 makes us think twice about a straight win wager.
Ajax have conceded nine goals in five home league games in the Eredivisie 2026/2027, so a clean sheet seems unlikely at the Johan Cruijff ArenA.
- However, the 3.25 price on AZ is far more tempting and the fact that they have won three, drawn one and lost one of their five away league games in this Eredivisie 2026/2027 season indicates that they travel well.
- Over 2.5 goals at 1.42 looks the best fit for these two in terms of goals scored and conceded and Both Teams to Score – Yes at 1.4 looks good too.
