- Team form: Aluminij's last 5 matches have been a mixed bag, but they do have a goal threat (W1, D2, L2).
- Recent form: Dinamo Tirana have been even more inconsistent, with 1 win and 4 defeats in their last 5.
Sides set for cagey contest at Ljudski vrt Stadion
Odds and expectations
Dinamo Tirana are a shade more likely than Aluminij to triumph in Slovenia on Thursday, but the odds for Aluminij are 3.12. Dinamo Tirana are listed as 2.17 favorites for the match and the draw at 3.4 seems too high for a game that looks destined to be a low-temp tactical matchup.
Aluminij in Europe
Aluminij have been pretty solid in UEFA Europa League qualifying so far, holding FC Sheriff Tiraspol to a 0-0 tie in Moldova before losing 1-0 in the return leg. Aluminij's side have been just about the better side in their previous 5 games, but the results have not reflected their dominance and inconsistency could be a factor here.
Dinamo in Europe and tactics
Dinamo have been more dramatic in their UEFA Conference League qualification tie against FC Astana, losing 1-0 at home before blasting their way back into the tie with a 1-4 away win after extra time. Ilir Daja's men have been well-drilled and flexible in the 4-2-3-1/4-3-3 system that keeps the team compact and difficult to break down through the middle.
Dinamo to edge close clash
Tactical outlook
Aluminij are more pragmatic and will line up in a compact back five or 4-4-2/4-5-1 system and sit deep before looking to counter attack. Dinamo Tirana are more comfortable in possession and with their pressing, so they should have enough to get through Aluminij's low block, but this has all the makings of a chess match in midfield, with a set play or a single transition move perhaps settling it.
Key stats and bets
- The Albanian side's average of 1.17 goals in away games this term is good, but Aluminij's record of one win, one draw and two defeats at home is pretty unimpressive.
- Backing Both Teams To Score at 1.65 and Under 2.5 Goals at 1.95 looks the best way to approach this tie.
