- Crew form: Columbus Crew have won four and lost only one of their last five games in all competitions.
- Toronto form: Toronto FC have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five in all competitions.
- Home scoring: Columbus Crew have scored 22 goals in 15 home games in MLS 2026.
Columbus Crew can get the better of a decent Toronto FC
Columbus Crew are the clear favorites to take the Trillium Cup at 1.63 this weekend, but a Toronto FC side can make it a competitive matchup at ScottsMiracle-Gro Field, USA. Robin Fraser's side are priced at 4.45 to come away with the win, which looks very attractive indeed given the recent form of the two sides. The draw is 4.3 with the same bookmaker, so the odds all look stacked in Columbus' favor.
Toronto FC are in a dreadful 20th place in MLS 2026 with only 36 points from 30 games, but the Reds have had some success since Fraser took over at the start of 2025. Their recent run has included a 2-1 home win over CF Montreal, a 3-3 draw with Orlando City and a 2-0 win at Red Bull New York. Their away form has been poor with three wins, three draws and eight losses from 14 games, but they can get a foothold against a Crew side that play a possession-based game with aggressive counter-pressing bursts, which should be Toronto's priority on Saturday.
Black & Gold better than their league position suggests
Playing style and recent form
Laurent Courtois' side have been much more direct of late, but the Columbus Crew are still more comfortable when the play is free-flowing and they can use their pressing to counter. The Black & Gold have won their last three at home after bouncing back from a 3-2 defeat at Orlando City SC by beating Charlotte FC 3-1 at Lower.com Field, so their form and confidence should be high for the game.
Home record and betting angle
Crew are 26th in the MLS 2026 table with 32 points from 29 matches, but their home record of seven wins, two draws and six losses suggests they can be tough to break down in front of their own fans. They usually get the goals they need to win as well with 22 scored in 15 games, so we're taking them to edge this matchup with a -1 handicap bet.
Head-to-head
But we can't ignore the fact that Toronto have beaten Columbus 2-1 in MLS 2026 and have avoided defeat in the last two meetings, so Fraser's men can still get something from this contest if they can keep it scrappy.
Toronto will be blunt away from home
Toronto have only scored 0.86 goals per game away from home in MLS 2026, so we can see the game opening up at the sides if Columbus can stretch the visitors out of their shape.
- Brais Mendez has been on a hot streak up top for the Black & Gold recently with four goals in Columbus' last 11 goals and could get on the scoresheet again.
- Daniel Salloi is Toronto's leading scorer in MLS 2026 with seven in 27 appearances and looks the best pick from the visitors to get in the net.
- We're going for over 2.5 goals at 1.44 and Both Teams to Score at 1.48 in this matchup as both should be available when the matchup is taken at face value.
