- Inter Miami CF are the 2nd-placed team in MLS 2026 with 38 points from 19 matches and Toronto FC are 25th with 20 points from 19 games.
- Inter Miami won the most recent game 4-2.
- Toronto have won just one of their nine away fixtures in MLS 2026, drawing three and losing five, averaging just 0.78 goals scored per game and 1.56 conceded per game.
Inter Miami CF too good for Toronto FC
Inter Miami CF will be looking to break a run of three consecutive defeats in all competitions when they play host to Toronto at Nu Stadium, USA on Saturday.
The Herons' last three outings have seen them go down 1-2 at home to CF Rayados de Monterrey in the CONCACAF Leagues Cup, lose 2-3 at home to Club Leon FC in the CONCACAF Leagues Cup, and suffer a 4-1 defeat at Nashville SC in MLS 2026.
The visitors' form, although more steady, is not much better with one win, three draws and one defeat from their last five, with the last three results being a 2-1 away defeat to DC United, a 1-1 away draw with New York City FC and a 2-1 home win over New England Revolution.
The Herons are Miami’s most deadly bird
It is a big ask to back the visitors to get a result in this match and the 23/50 on offer for the hosts makes Inter Miami CF the obvious selection here, although the draw at 411/100 is also attractive given Toronto's consistency.
Angel Guillermo Hoyos has been at the helm since 15 April 2026 and his team are still a possession-based side that plays with high full-backs and relies on Messi's free role to create chances on the break. They are the most dangerous team in MLS 2026 with a host of talent that culminates in the best player on the planet. Messi is their game-breaker with 12 goals in 15 games, but the whole attack flows from his play.
Inter Miami have been less consistent lately, but at home they have won three, drawn four and lost just once in eight MLS 2026 games, so there is still plenty of firepower to hit Toronto with, despite the wobble.
The Reds are compact and disciplined
Robin Fraser's side are more about structure, pressing triggers and compact defensive organisation, but the real battle will be whether they can keep the central channels blocked and frustrate Messi.
Daniel Salloi leads the line for the Reds with four goals in 19 MLS 2026 games, which could be enough to nick something if Toronto remain compact. However, the stats don't suggest Toronto will be scoring a lot with 0.78 goals per away game.
We think this is Inter's game to lose, although Toronto are compact enough to keep it closer than the odds suggest. Our preferred play on the odds is for Inter Miami to win and over 1.5 goals in the match as Miami have scored 21 goals in eight home MLS 2026 matches, averaging 2.62 goals per match.
