- Atlanta form: Atlanta United have been inconsistent recently, with their 3-0-2 run in the last five being better than their 3-1-6 overall form.
- Orlando form: Orlando City SC's 2-2-1 run in the same period is better than their 5-2-3 record over the last ten.
- Away stat: Orlando are averaging 2.75 goals per game away from home in all competitions this season.
A close game with an away edge
There's probably enough difference between these two sides to see a winner, but not much, in what should be an entertaining game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Atlanta United are 2.1 favorites against Orlando City SC, who are 3.2 with the Draw at 3.85.
The hosts have been up and down of late, following up a home win over Sporting Kansas City with a 2-0 defeat to Charlotte FC. Jack Collison's side, who play a 'Total Football' style possession game that involves a lot of movement from a 4-3-3 or back-three shape, have been bit by a loss of finishing ability recently.
Averaging 1.33 goals at home across all competitions, the 5-Stripes should get plenty of chances to change that against Orlando, where Antoine Griezmann has been in fine form alongside the Lions' top scorer, Martin Ojeda, who is the top scorer in MLS 2026 with 11 goals in 16 appearances.
Orlando have more to offer
Martin Perelman's side will bring a pragmatic possession game to the field on Wednesday and their 4-2-3-1 base, combined with pressing tweaks, could keep the 5-Stripes from getting the ball as often.
- Orlando have won two, drawn two and lost one of their last five matches, a run which started with a 2-1 win over Real Salt Lake but ended with a 0-3 away draw with Minnesota United.
- Over their last ten across all competitions, they have won five, drawn two and lost three, so the form of both teams is a little better for the away side.
The odds are not quite right
Betting picks
There is an edge to Orlando in this game and Atlanta look the most likely to win it, but not enough to back them at 3.2.
We're going to take Over 2.5 goals in the game at 1.49 and both teams to score at 1.4 because the attacking potential for both sides seems good and there could be some goal-mouth action on Wednesday night.
Tactical outlook
A home victory for Orlando would be a surprise and they would be looking over their shoulders at the Draw, given Atlanta's home record across all competitions is two wins and one loss in their last three outings. But the form and the playing styles here do give Orlando the edge.
Atlanta's attack against Orlando's well-organised midfield and pressing could be a chess match and whoever wins that battle could win the game.
