- Team form: Saint Louis City SC are unbeaten in ten matches, winning seven and drawing three.
- Recent form: Minnesota United have won only two of their last ten, drawing four and losing four.
- Match prediction: Home field advantage should swing the game in favour of Saint Louis City SC, but Minnesota United could keep this close if they stay in it.
Saint Louis City SC in their groove
Manager and recent form
Yoann Damet has done a terrific job since taking the reins of Saint Louis City SC on 16th December 2025 and this week's visit of Minnesota United represents a real test for his side. They have won three and drawn two of their last five matches, but the last three were all about grit and punch.
Results and key players
Saint Louis City SC won 2-1 at Houston Dynamo FC, were tied 3-3 by FC Dallas and won 3-1 away at Vancouver Whitecaps last time out, so there is clearly some fragility about this team. Rafael Navarro is their leading MLS 2026 scorer with eight goals in 23 appearances, but Simon Becher has been on fire with five of his club's 12 goals in the last five games.
Minnesota United may struggle to make an impact
Recent form
The Loons come into this game looking a little shaky with one win, two draws and two defeats in their last five contests.
Recent results and odds
They are better than the latter two results suggest, but need to be in better shape than they are to pull the win in this matchup.
They are conceding an average of 2.00 goals per game on the road and will have to play pretty well to avoid defeat on Sunday.
- They won 1-0 at San Jose Earthquakes, lost 3-0 at home to Orlando City and were thumped 5-0 away at Portland Timbers in the most recent trip.
- Minnesota United's away record across all competitions reads one win, one draw and two losses from four.
- Saint Louis City SC are the clear slight favourite at 1.97, but Minnesota United can be found at 3.3 and the draw at 3.85.
Loons must counter well to win
Saint Louis City SC are very strong at home, where they are unbeaten in all competitions with four wins and two draws in six. They are averaging 2.17 goals per home game and conceding an average of 1.17.
Minnesota United set up in a fairly compact block, allowing their wingbacks to get forward, but not press as much as many US clubs. This game looks like a battle of tempo in which Saint Louis will try to smother the game and spring forward while Minnesota will try to keep it tight and play on the counterattack. The odds on over 2.5 goals at 1.55 are fair enough given the recent trend of open games involving these teams and we are adding BTTS at 1.48 to the main prediction because it is just as strong.
