- Home form: San Luis have drawn two and lost two of their four home Liga MX 2026/2027 games, scoring only three times.
- Away form: Necaxa are yet to win a away game this season in Liga MX, drawing two and losing one, averaging 1.00 goals-per-game.
- Recent form: San Luis have won one, drawn one and lost three of their last five games in all competitions.
An open game is expected in San Luis
Match context
Atletico de San Luis (2.1) are slight favourites ahead of visitors Necaxa (3.15) for Saturday's Liga MX 2026/2027 encounter at Estadio Alfonso Lastras, Mexico, with the draw at 3.65 also. The hosts are having a slightly better season than their guests so far, sitting 16th with 6 points from 7 games, while Necaxa are 13th on 8 points from 8, so neither side is really going to say they are happy with the way their campaign has gone so far and each will be looking for this to be their first significant step forward.
Tactics and key players
Diego Mejia has made San Luis a much more attack-minded side that looks to control the ball and pin their opponents back when they have it, while pressing the life out of the opponents when they don't. Martin Varini has been a little more consistent with his approach at Necaxa, but their high-energy, vertical style has not yet been completely successful.
- This has resulted in some wide swings of form, as the last three results illustrates: a 1-1 draw with Pachuca, a 3-1 away win at Monterrey and a 0-3 home defeat to Chivas.
- Rafa Llorente is the team's chief spark, leading their Liga MX 2026/2027 scoring charts with 3 goals in 7 games.
- The visitors are without a win in 5 games in all competitions, drawing twice and losing three times.
- Julian Carranza is Necaxa's main threat, leading their scoring charts with 4 in 7 Liga MX 2026/2027 matches.
Tuneros to edge a close game
On paper, this is a game that should favour the home side as San Luis will be more comfortable in possession and their pressing game is more suited to the home environment, while Necaxa are at their best when they can disrupt the build-up rhythm and hit their opponents on the counter attack. However, the head-to-head record means we must keep Necaxa in the conversation here as they have won the last 3 meetings between the sides in Liga MX, including a 4-1 win at home 7 months ago.
San Luis have also failed to win either of their previous two home games against Necaxa, so the visitors come into this with the mental edge. This should make the game quite tight with plenty of two-way action and second ball battles, so we're going with over 2.5 goals at 1.65 and both teams to score at 1.55 to cover an open affair with lots of chances.
