- Team form: Necaxa are in the middle of a three-match losing streak.
- Away form: Atlas have won four and lost only once from five away games in Liga MX 2026/2027.
- H2H: The head-to-head record is tied after five meetings in the last few years, with Necaxa and Atlas each winning twice and one draw.
Hernán Crespo’s Atlas can overcome home side
Necaxa's form and home record is poor enough to see Atlas coming out on top at Estadio Victoria on Saturday. Los Rayos sit 17th in the Liga MX 2026-2027 table after taking eight points from 10 games and Atlas are sixth with 18 points from 11.
Necaxa have won two and lost four of their six home games, which doesn't make for the best reading when trying to predict the outcome of this fixture. Atlas have been a bit up and down of late, winning one, drawing three and losing one of their last five matches, but they did have some bite in their win away at Tijuana last time out.
This looks like being a chess game of structure vs transitions as the hosts play the ball out from the back and are more possession based. Necaxa are a bit more pragmatic following Juan Reynoso's appointment in September, which has allowed the side to reset away from the possession-based foundations laid by his predecessor Varini.
Both teams capable of landing a punch
Tactical outlook
Atlas are a more vertical team, deploying wing-backs and forward defending, but the head-to-head is dead even over five meetings. The average goals scored by Necaxa at home in that five-game stretch is 0.7 and by Atlas is also 0.7, so this looks set to be a close match-up.
Recent form
Necaxa have lost their two most recent home games against Puebla and América, as well as falling to Atlético de San Luis on the road, so Atlas look the most likely winner this weekend.
- Necaxa have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, while Atlas have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their away games this season.
- Luis Esteves leads the way for Atlas with four goals in ten Liga MX 2026/2027 games and has 3 of his team's eight goals in their last 5, while Julian Carranza is Necaxa's top scorer with 6 goals in 9 appearances.
- Atlas are slightly odds-on at 2.66 and the away win does look the most probable outcome, but Necaxa are 2.4 and the draw 3.6, which is why we prefer to take a Both Teams to Score – Yes selection at 1.57 as an alternative, as both sides are capable of throwing a punch.
Players to watch
Owen Gonzalez has contributed 2 of Necaxa's 5 goals in their last 5 matches, so he could be a difference maker as Los Rayos have struggled to find a spark in their poor run.
