- Form: Necaxa have lost two of their last two home games against Club America and haven't beaten them in that run
- Recent form: Club America have won three of their last five (D1, L1), whereas Necaxa have lost three of their last five (D2)
- Stats: Necaxa have conceded eight goals in five home matches in Liga MX 2026/2027 while Club America have scored 1.75 and conceded 1.50 per away match
Club America have edge on Necaxa at Estadio Victoria
Recent results
A 2-2 draw at home to CD Guadalajara followed a 4-3 defeat away to rivals Cruz Azul for Club America, so the contrast between the two sides last weekend was clear to see. The difference between Club America and their opponents last weekend couldn't have been more evident with Necaxa also playing on the road in their 3-1 defeat at Atletico de San Luis.
Tactical styles
But there is a gulf in class between these two sides, which is perhaps why América beat the Rayos 2-0 when they played at home. Club America are in the top three of Liga MX 2026/2027 with 17 points from eight games, but Necaxa are 15th with eight points from nine.
- Las Águilas are a team that presses high up the pitch and attacks quickly and vertically with a tempo to their 4-2-3-1 that gets the ball forward in a flash.
- Martin Varini appears to have tried to play a positional game that keeps the ball, has his wing-backs high and wide and presses in a structured way.
Necaxa need a tactical reset to stem the tide
Necaxa are on a two-game losing streak after a 0-1 home defeat to Puebla and a 3-1 away loss to Atletico de San Luis. They have lost their most recent home game and don't come into the game in great shape, although there are signs that Varini is trying to re-set the tactical framework.
There is a clear advantage to the visitors here, although Necaxa's home-field advantage and the fact that América are favourites at 1.84 suggests we shouldn't be too greedy for a profit.
A 2-1 road win seems about right for Club America, who can score goals with Miguel Borja hitting three of their nine in their last five while Necaxa's Julian Carranza is the top scorer in Liga MX 2026/2027 with five in eight.
But there is value in the fact that both teams to score is 1.57 and over 2.5 goals at 1.65 also appeals because this game will be an interesting contrast between América's pace and pressure versus Necaxa's search for some structure that could leave them open if they get beaten in the press.
