- New England form: New England Revolution have won one, drawn two, and lost two of their last five matches, losing their last two.
- New York form: New York City FC have won two, drawn one, and lost two of their last five games in all competitions, also losing their last two.
New York City can deny New England a home win
New England Revolution have the advantage in terms of league position and home turf advantage, but New York City FC have a better recent record against them and we're going to back them to avoid a defeat on Sunday.
New England's form heading into this matchup is mixed, with one win, two draws and two defeats across their last five. They were thumped 2-0 at home to the Houston Dynamo FC and then lost 2-1 to Toronto FC in Canada, a double blow that must have hurt the club.
New York City FC have a similar recent form line to their hosts, winning two, drawing one and losing two of their last five. They're also on a two-match losing streak, following up a 2-0 win over Santos Laguna in the Leagues Cup with defeats against Cruz Azul and Necaxa in the CONCACAF Leagues Cup 2026/2027.
Form lines point to away win, but recent head-to-heads are a factor
Odds
The odds for this game point to NYCFC as slight favourites at 2.4, with New England at 2.7 and the draw at 3.55.
Head-to-head
The Revs have the better record at home in 2026, but NYCFC have an advantage in the head-to-head record and away from home. New England won the last MLS 2025 edition of this matchup 2-0 at the Gillette Stadium, but NYCFC have won the two most recent meetings, including the one on their trip to New England. This game looks very close, but we have to go with the visitors because of their head-to-head edge and the odds on offer.
Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals looks best
Tactical battle
These two teams have completely different tactical approaches to the game, with New York city's high-intensity high-pressing shape taking the ball away from opponents as high up the pitch as possible and then looking to overload the inside channels in attack.
New England's narrow diamond is built to compress space centrally, force the play wide and allow the Revs to spring fast transitions, so we think this could be a tense midfield chess match with both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals the most likely outcome.
Key players
- Carles Gil is the spark plug for New England, with the Spanish midfielder top scoring the club with seven MLS 2026 goals, while Nicolas Fernandez is the danger man for the Boys in Blue, his 13 goals top scoring for New York City FC and giving them a sharper edge in the final third.
