- Team form: Philadelphia Union have won seven, drawn five and lost four of 16 MLS 2026 home games, scoring 28 goals.
- Away form: Toronto FC have won three, drawn three and lost 10 of their 16 MLS 2026 away games, scoring 0.94 and conceding 1.88 per away game.
- Head-to-head: The two clubs drew 3-3 in Toronto six months ago and are tied at one win each and three draws in the five-game head-to-head series.
Lively game likely when two poor sides clash
Philadelphia Union sit 11th in the MLS 2026 with 47 points from 33 matches while Toronto FC are 24th with 39 points from 33 games.
So two of the conference's worst sides meet in this game and we're expecting goals at both ends in what should be an entertaining contest.
Philadelphia Union have won one, drawn two and lost two of their last five matches and are struggling for goals as they have managed only one in their last three.
The Boys in Blue failed to score in a 1-2 home defeat to New England and a 0-0 draw at Nashville in their two most recent assignments.
Toronto FC have also been in mixed form of late, winning two, drawing one and losing two of their last five.
The Reds have been leaky on the road, conceding four at Columbus and three at Atlanta in their last three road trips.
Contrast in styles will create chances at both ends
Different tactical setups
Philadelphia Union and Toronto FC's two different tactical approaches to the game should lead to plenty of openings and chances at Subaru Park, where the hosts have scored 28 goals in 16 matches.
Ryan Richter's Boys in Blue are an aggressive, 4-4-2 unit that presses and sets up selected pressing traps to get bodies forward in transition.
Robin Fraser's Reds are the polar opposite of Union in that they are a shape-first, shape-driven team that sets up in a mid-block 4-2-3-1 to absorb pressure and play out wide or through the middle to break into the opponent's half.
The Reds have a more compact and pragmatic look to them than last season after Fraser took over as coach on 10 January 2025.
What that means for the scoreline
The clash of styles will leave gaps and openings for both sides to exploit and, as a result, over 2.5 goals looks a better play than betting on a tight, cagey affair.
Hosts have a better chance to win
Philadelphia Union have failed to win either of their two home games against Toronto FC, so there is a little bit of a hoodoo about the rivalry.
But we'll go with the home team, who we believe have the better chance to break through for a result.
The odds on the Philadelphia Union to take the win are a little too short at 1.38, so we'll recommend over 2.5 goals at 1.3 and both teams to score at 1.48 instead, but the most likely script will be a home win.
- The hosts' recent scoring has been sparse, but they have received a boost in form from Bruno Damiani, who has scored three of their six goals in the last five games.
- The Union's main end product is Milan Iloski, who has 16 goals in 27 appearances, while Daniel Salloi, with seven goals in 27 appearances, is the biggest threat for the visitors.
