- Recent form: Germany have won nine of their last ten games across all competitions, losing once.
- Recent results: Paraguay have been less consistent, winning two, drawing one and losing two of their last five matches.
- Playing style: Julian Nagelsmann's Germany play a high-tempo, vertical and pressing game with plenty of half-space overloads.
Germany good bet for goals against a deep Paraguay block
But Germany have been very reliable winners in 2026, going five for five in home games across all competitions and four for five overall, pushing out a 2-1 home win over Ivory Coast in their opening FIFA World Cup 2026 Group E match before a 2-1 away defeat to Ecuador.
Nagelsmann's fast, front-foot game should suit Die Mannschaft
Previous encounter
The only previous FIFA World Cup meeting between the nations also went Germany's way when they beat Paraguay 1-0 in the knockout stage of the 2002 World Cup.
Tactics and outlook
The market is certainly expecting Germany to control this game, but we feel Paraguay's gameplan to sit deep and be a compact, pragmatic unit could keep the game tight for periods.
Paraguay's away stats across all competitions indicate that they can keep it close, with only 1.12 goals per game scored and 1.62 conceded on their travels, but they will come under sustained pressure.
- Germany are a 1.45 favourite to win this Monday's FIFA World Cup - Knockout Stage 2026 clash with Paraguay who are 8.15 longshots with a draw priced at 4.97.
- Those odds are understandable given Paraguay are the underdog that showed they could beat Turkey 1-0 away from home in FIFA World Cup Group D before holding Australia to a 0-0 draw at home.
- Deniz Undav has been lethal for Germany with five goals in his last five games and they have scored 11 in total during that run, so it looks like the best play is to take Germany to win and Under 2.5 goals at 2.04, while Both Teams to Score – No is 1.75.
