- Luton have the better of the all-time H2H record against Gillingham and won the last competitive meeting 3-2 in the Carabao Cup 2023.
- Gillingham finished 17th in the 24-team League Two with 53 points last season while Luton finished seventh in the 24-team League One with approximately 74 points.
Gills to get a Gillingham in a tough cup tie
Luton on Saturday turn out as the obvious favourites to win their EFL Cup first-round tie against League Two Gillingham at 69/100. The Gills are in the shade at 19/5, but are still less likely to notch than the draw at 27/10. Gareth Ainsworth's team are compact, direct and hardworking in the mould of many smaller English clubs, where they are usually set up to disrupt the rhythm of their more skilful opponents and spring a few quick counter attacks when the chance arises. Gillingham will be no different on Saturday. But the Gillingham of 2024-25 aren't the same as the Gillingham of 2023-24 and Luton are a very different team to the one that won 3-2 in the 2023 Carabao Cup. Jack Wilshere now has the Hatters playing a structured, possession-based game that creates wide overloads and looks to break forward quickly when an opening appears.
Hatters have more going forward
Jordan Clark is the Hatters' livewire, creating and scoring plenty in 2025-26, but Gideon Kodua provides the extra bite while Nahki Wells can still score or win a game off the bench if things get a bit desperate. Joe Gbode is the Gills' sharpest spark and the pre-season goals he has already registered mean this side could trouble the hosts on the counter-attack.
The market is perhaps leaning towards goals on this occasion with Over 2.5 at 83/100 and Both Teams To Score very close split at Yes 4/5 and No 19/20. We think the No option is the better one to take here, as Luton are the only team of the two capable of keeping the opposition out and controlling the game.
A Luton win is the most likely outcome, but probably by a slender margin, so our selection is for a 1-0 or 2-0 away win in the correct score market to fit the odds and the flow of the game.
